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3 Steal spots i missed?? Or is it -EV to steal here? 90's turbo $ 0, 50 and $ 1 3 Steal spots i missed?? Or is it -EV to steal here? 90's turbo $ 0, 50 and $ 1

12-11-2011 , 08:14 PM
Hi players,

I did some review on my sessions and got some spots where im unsure if i should steal with those specific hands, or that stealing with those hands are eventually -EV.

I run the hands in SnG Wizz and adjusted the ranges to each villain.
This post contains 3 hands and in another post i posted 2 more hands.

All games are 90 man turbo's on Stars and buy inn $ 0, 50 and $ 1,-


Hand 1:
Player open limps stats: 30/ 0 over 44 hands.
Reads: doesn’t seem he is trapping here, but can call lighter than normal with lots of pairs due to his stacksize.
Position: 6 / 14 left. First 12 ITM.

What is bottom of our range here to steal?
SnG wizz says: 24.9 % in chip equity mode and 6.3% in $ mode.
Is this correct?

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1,000(BB) Replayer
SB ($9,720)
BB ($12,055)
UTG ($5,680)
UTG+1 ($20,865)
UTG+2 ($26,075)
CO ($4,555)
Hero ($9,880)

Dealt to Hero 4 A

fold, UTG+1 calls $1,000, fold, fold,


Hand 2:
I missed this steal spot I believe.
SnG wizz gives me in chip equity mode 47.2% range and in $ range 19.3%, going to shove KT+, K9’s +.
Position: 5/ 13 left and first 12 ITM.

Reads:
BB is LAP.
In this blind level he open limped and folded to 9K jamm.

SB: is desperate TAG.
Will jamm ATC due to his stacksize and call with any high card, connectors, suited hands and pairs.

CO: 15/ 5 over 61 hands.
Bttn: 22/ 12 over 62 hands

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1,000(BB) Replayer
SB ($4,480)
BB ($19,665)
UTG ($25,875)
UTG+1 ($4,355)
Hero ($11,880)
CO ($12,220)
BTN ($10,355)

Dealt to Hero K J

fold, fold, fold,


Hand 3:
Bubble just bursted !
Position: 5/ 12 left, first 12 ITM.

This hand im wondering if SnG wizz is a little too tight or that the range is correct.
It gives me a 31.5 % in $ option to shove. KT+, K6’ s +
I adjusted the calling ranges for the players yet to act in $ option.
Bttn: 11.5 %+
SB: 11 % +
BB: 22.2 % +

Their stats are:
Bttn: 15/ 5
SB: 22/ 12
BB: 24/ 10

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1,200(BB) Replayer
SB ($11,205)
BB ($9,955)
UTG ($16,040)
UTG+1 ($26,450)
Hero ($12,955)
BTN ($9,995)

Dealt to Hero 8 K

fold, fold, fold,



THANKS FOR CHECKING OUT MY POST !!
12-12-2011 , 11:58 PM
probably i would shove ax, suited broadways qj kt 98s 22 k8s or something like that and expect him to fold most of the time and when we get called all of these hands have okish equity. he doesnt need to fold that often given that we win a massive 3k in dead money when everyone folds and thats like 30% of our stack..

jamming this for sure. you should not play 100% cev but also def not $ev as this is not the final table. something like 25ish % sounds decent i think. be careful you arent using the default calling ranges on wiz..!

shove this, $ev is not correct with 12 left, not 100% cev either but def significantly wider. k2s k6o or so unless players behind are pretty good regs or super donkey/loose or something.

      
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