Quote:
Originally Posted by ChipsNcrisps
Ok, great point, thanks.
Can't we see it the other way though? (just and idea)
Any good reg will see that I am shoving for more than 8 bb and that there is a super shortie < 3bb. Therefore, they'll put me on a super strong shoving range (because of what you said previously, i guess we only shoving monsters) and have a ridiculous calling range (JJ+?)? Which would mean that I am almost never called?
Basically what Im trying to say is cant we take adv. of this ICM pressure?
This is just a thought I had while reviewing my session.
Hope you understand what I mean.
Your thinking is on the right lines. There is a kind of balance between shoving too much and not enough. Yes, if were shoving only monsters and therefore getting called by JJ+ then it would be +EV to add hands, and keep doing it till it gradually became +EV for them to add more hands until a balance is found (the hands in your pushing range and no others are good enough against their calling ranges, which are made up of hands good enough against your pushing range and no others).
Nash calculator says the balance is at 31.5% 22+ Ax+ K4s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 98s
more details:
http://www.holdemresources.net/h/web...4&s8=&s9=&s10=
Perhaps you are surprised K9o doesn't rate as a top 31.5% pushing hand in this situation - it's not as good as you think it is then
Generally I think villains play too scared in terms of pushing and calling at these tables, but 7-handed in a 45 is an exception - people think in terms of "now we're in the money we can loosen up" when actually we still have a long and relatively straight pay-ladder ahead. The ICM pressure here is comparable to 4-handed in a 9-man SNG but the others don't realise it and may well call too loose (e.g. SB is not folding 88 here even if the calc says he should) so I would be playing tighter than the above - depending on reads.