Hey, If villain is shoving quite wide and he most probably is HRC says to shove 24.9%, 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K8s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo JTs and it is cEV. But ICM calculations (this is FT) says to shove 16.5%, 55+ A4s+ A8o+ K9s+ KJo+ QJs. WHat do you think? what's your play here?
icm range looks fine, only thing i see different is that he is shoving any pair and not 55+
for you this is a super easy icm fold. you risk a good part of your stack and have never more than 60% against his range.
but behind you there is a good chance someone is calling and the blinds get super good odds.
if another player puts chips in the pot this is very good for you.
guess my range for overshoving would be 88+ ATo+ AJs and this is already on the looser side