Preflop: (2,400) Hero is MP3 with A K
UTG+2 folds, MP1 raises to 6,600, MP2 calls 6,600, Hero raises to 45,846 and is all-in, 4 folds, MP1 calls 21,209 and is all-in, MP2 calls 14,591 and is all-in
Flop: (83,709) 3 6 2 (3 players, 3 are all-in) Turn: (83,709) 8 (3 players, 3 are all-in) River: (83,709) 4 (3 players, 3 are all-in)
Spoiler:
Results: 83,709 pot
Final Board: 3 6 2 8 4
MP1 showed 8 8 and won 83,709 (55,600 net)
MP2 showed A A and lost (-21,491 net)
Hero showed A K and lost (-28,109 net)
Following 100% of SNG Wiz for ICM factors is generally going to be bad. Also, 99% of people seem to leave the default edge on which is going to result in much tighter ranges here. Also depending on the ranges you input into SNG Wiz there could be a huge difference in ranges. Never folding this ever. GL
Edit: If Mp1 is a good reg etc then I would maybe lean towards a fold because his raise with this kind of stack size is extremely nutted, or at least nutted enough to the extent that a) you have zero fold equity and b) his range is tighter and stronger than if he had just shoved himself to begin with.. And ICM does matter, just not as much as SNG calculates