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180 FT 4 handed 180 FT 4 handed

11-10-2016 , 06:23 PM
Hi,

Original opener stats 24/9 (30 hands), 3 better is 25/21/13 after 89 hands.

Pretty sure I'm ahead here, but with me being in last place do I need to take this risk, or let it go? I can now break into song...Let it goooo...


    Poker Stars, $2.28 Buy-in (1,500/3,000 blinds, 300 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37509896

    Hero (BB): 38,454 (12.8 bb)
    CO: 113,621 (37.9 bb)
    BTN: 41,703 (13.9 bb)
    SB: 76,222 (25.4 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with 8 8
    CO raises to 6,000, BTN folds, SB raises to 75,922 and is all-in,




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    11-12-2016 , 10:40 AM
    call. I give villian really tight reshove range and you still have 53% Eq. You have to take spot like this, 88 are the nuts. The most important in this tournament is winning or 2nd place. This is a perfect spot to double up...come on be a man gl
    11-13-2016 , 04:51 AM
    How has CO being playing in terms of sizing? Is there any reason to be suspicious of his sizing here?

    It's close though, it's probably the kind of thing that doesn't make much difference though I would fold.

    The 13% 3-bet stat is probably something like 4 times out of 31 opportunities so doesn't mean much.

    You have roughly 3:2 odds from the pot if CO folds every time but the ICM pretty much cancels that out - so you need about 50% equity against SB. It is also legal for CO to be dealt a good hand, so there's a potential bomb and he may be about to eliminate the other big stack so folding is higher value than 0.
    11-13-2016 , 02:56 PM
    Easy fold... ICM pressure is huge there, TTs are even close imo. I would call TT+,AK.
    11-14-2016 , 12:05 PM
    I'm afraid no clue on sizing. He had barely raised tbh! Do agree with comments on 13% 3bet stat, but also obviously range changes a lot 4 handed. I have run this on icmizer and got a range of QQ+. Even with pretty tight ranges.
    11-23-2016 , 02:18 AM
    i dont think sb is nutted here as he might have '3bet small to induce range' on 25bbs. For this reason I would call 88 and probably 77 as a bottom. If he had 20bbs or less or we think that he jams his whole range on 25bb then I would decide based on his 3bet%. If 13% is legit (big samplesize) I would call

          
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