Quote:
Originally Posted by KidFernandes
It's too bad, I read this whole 10 page thread hoping to get some decent insight or useful discussion about various $3.50 rebuy/add-on strategies and came away with:
1) A bunch of regs got into a d!ck swinging contest about who was arrogant and who wasn't that had nothing to do with rebuy options or the thread but about their graph results.
2) 80% of people that say to always double rebuy and always add-on "because it's better"
3) A few people talking about Shen and a mysterious single bullet strategy that got someone in trouble for even bringing up.
SO. Given a decent sample size (i.e., 1000 SnG's), what would people think the best ROI would be:
a) Double rebuy at start, double rebuy throughout, always add-on
b) Double rebuy at start, no rebuys after 150BB level, always add-on
c) Double rebuy at start, no rebuys ever, always add-on
d) Double rebuy at start, no rebuy, no add-on
e) Single buy at start, double rebuy throughout, always add-on
f) Single buy at start, no rebuys after 150BB level, always add-on
g) Single buy at start, no rebuys ever, always add-on
h) Single buy at start, no rebuy, no add-on
Obviously A is going to get you the most FT's and the highest winning%/cashes. So that's the "optimal" strategy to win the most often and no one contests that. That seems like what the first 3 pages of this thread answered. Which isn't really helpful. The real question is whether the improvement in FT's/cashes make up for what can be anywhere from 2-20x more investment in each SnG. As someone said very aptly, if you play 1000 of these a month, "simply" starting with a double rebuy increases your entry cost by $3190 a month. So you have to win twice as much to make up for that extra buy-in, which continues to increase based on the number of rebuys/addons. Has anyone done any statistical look at this over a variety of strategies to come up with an optimal strategy based on an accurate ROI per strategy (not sharkscope). Or is the best anyone has come up with "always double rebuy, always add-on cuz you win more"....
I would like to hear the answer to this. I always hear double rebuy from the start, always add-on, always double-rebuy. More money you put into the tournament, the more you can win back (of yours and theirs). It's kind of like the idea of the Sunday Spark imo. $100k GTD for a $2 investment. People are willing to rebuy and add-on as many times and the prize pool becomes greater than the $100k then in effect, people see that the prize pool is more than $100k even though they are busting like crazy, thus they feel it's a better investment to rebuy again.
A better example, the lottery. Regular degens buy lottery tickets, prize grows to $100 mil, hype grows, more people who would not buy lottery tickets, buy tickets, pot grows passed $200mil and I think statistical odds are now in favor of at least buying a ticket (I forget), no one hits and now pot grows, etc, etc, $500 mil, etc, til someone hits it.
Of course, a SNG doesn't have this kind of strong effect for regs but it may slightly for the recreational user. Since these are reg-infested, it may not have the same mental effects. I can't personally speak, I get my butt whooped by the regs.
I think I will give the single bullet strategy a try. Just one tiny $3.50 investment, balls to the wall in each game and just move onto the next one. Honestly, I don't know.