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Prediction Thread Prediction Thread

07-02-2011 , 03:31 AM
Not sure if this is worthy of its own thread, but things are pretty dead around here so what the hell...

If you have an idea of how things will play out in the future, no matter the time frame, post the details here so you can come back if and when it comes to fruition to barg about it.

This is something that is very interesting to me, so if you know of any reading material out there pertaining to this topic please feel free to link us to it.

I'm mostly interested in predictions that will either happen or not happen before the year 3000 because I have a decent chance at witnessing it personally, but even stuff further out than that is welcomed.

I suppose I should start things off with a prediction of my own, but I don't have anything in mind right now so I'll have to come back later after more thought.

If this doesn't interest anyone, that's cool too.
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07-02-2011 , 04:15 AM
just read something about economic history/history of capitalism:

it is the nature of capitalism to widen the gap between rich and poor.
the claim of this author (and many more) was that periodically there are incidents to correct this imbalance. they either happen when the part of the society that has nothing does not accept the distribution of wealth anymore or by an economic crisis. the essay mentioned a lot of examples. i can only remember a few like the big crisis in 1929 or certain currency reforms.
it also said that mechanisms like a social system can slow the development down. the more wealth is redistributed the slower the gap widens and the less often there are crisis.
the key point was that by looking at how wide the gap between the rich and the poor is you can predict how close a society is to the next "correction"

sadly i dont have a link for that as i read it in the library at unversity.


2nd:
an aticle about a study which claims that attacks of terrorists/resistance fighters follow a mathematic pattern and can therefore be predicted.

problem here: if ur german sucks you will have to use google translate
http://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/m...771641,00.html


not sure if that was what you were looking for. when it comes to more general history (next WW etc) i dont know anything about predictions ( except for nostradamus )
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07-03-2011 , 02:13 AM
Yeah, I mean anything related to predicting future events is welcomed. I will check out your link later tonight. Thanks.
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07-03-2011 , 07:49 AM
a friend sent me this:

http://www.worldhistorysite.com/prediction.html

while Arnold Toynbee is beyond any doubt for me, i am not so sure about the content of this website. have not read it all though.
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07-04-2011 , 11:23 PM
sweet, thanks.
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07-07-2011 , 01:34 AM
Here is one of the finest predictions (i.e. not the random garbage of Nostradamus) I've ever come across by Heine:

"Christianity - and that is its greatest merit - has somewhat mitigated that brutal Germanic love of war, but it could not destroy it. Should that subduing talisman, the cross, be shattered, the frenzied madness of the ancient warriors, that insane Berserk rage of which Nordic bards have spoken and sung so often, will once more burst into flame. This talisman is fragile, and the day will come when it will collapse miserably. Then the ancient stony gods will rise from the forgotten debris and rub the dust of a thousand years from their eyes, and finally Thor with his giant hammer will jump up and smash the Gothic cathedrals. (...)

Do not smile at my advice -- the advice of a dreamer who warns you against Kantians, Fichteans, and philosophers of nature. Do not smile at the visionary who anticipates the same revolution in the realm of the visible as has taken place in the spiritual. Thought precedes action as lightning precedes thunder. German thunder is of true Germanic character; it is not very nimble, but rumbles along ponderously. Yet, it will come and when you hear a crashing such as never before has been heard in the world's history, then you know that the German thunderbolt has fallen at last. At that uproar the eagles of the air will drop dead, and lions in the remotest deserts of Africa will hide in their royal dens. A play will be performed in Germany which will make the French Revolution look like an innocent idyll."
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