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Old 05-20-2020, 01:41 AM   #1
Mason Malmuth
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History of the World

Hi Everyone:

My appologies for neglecting this forum, but I'm now the co-author of a history book: A History of the World from a Gambler's Perspective by Mason Malmuth and Antonio Carrasco.

Here's the Table of Contents:

https://www.twoplustwo.com/magazine/issue185/

Here's an Excerpt:

https://www.twoplustwo.com/magazine/...-the-world.php

and here's the Amazon page if you want to order a copy:

https://www.amazon.com/History-World...F39AETF77NQBSH

Best wishes,
Mason
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Old 05-20-2020, 03:23 PM   #2
Lapidator
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Re: History of the World

Good luck with the book.

The Trotsky example doesn't really resonate with me, doesn't seem like much of a gamble (seems to me the Bolsheviks would have accepted just about any non-Marxist means to the ends that left them in power).
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Old 05-20-2020, 08:01 PM   #3
Mason Malmuth
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Re: History of the World

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lapidator View Post
Good luck with the book.

The Trotsky example doesn't really resonate with me, doesn't seem like much of a gamble (seems to me the Bolsheviks would have accepted just about any non-Marxist means to the ends that left them in power).
Hi Lapidator:

Perhaps. But the way we saw it, very few of the important Bolsheviks understood how an army needed to be run and they were also very idealistic, and having a conventional army was something that they thought was very bad. Anyway, that was the gamble that Trotsky took and in our opinion, it was nowhere close to a sure thing.

By the way, there's lots of other stuff in this book which some of you may want to debate, so I'll be sure to check in once the book gets published and distributed.

Best wishes,
Mason
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Old 05-20-2020, 08:21 PM   #4
rivercitybirdie
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Re: History of the World

looking very much forward to this book..... enjoyed the trotsky sample

got me reading more about stalin... apparently, he had 5 senior guys he ultimately trusted. not sure how that came about. did he realize he needed them in some way?
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Old 05-20-2020, 11:48 PM   #5
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Re: History of the World

Congrats Mason, and I’m looking forward to getting the book. And I hope we all will have civil and interesting discussions about all the examples.
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Old 05-21-2020, 12:02 AM   #6
Mason Malmuth
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Re: History of the World

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Originally Posted by rivercitybirdie View Post
looking very much forward to this book..... enjoyed the trotsky sample

got me reading more about stalin... apparently, he had 5 senior guys he ultimately trusted. not sure how that came about. did he realize he needed them in some way?
Hi River:

Stalin makes the book in the chapter: "Stalin’s “Not a Step Back:” Increasing Morale by Killing Your Own Soldiers."

As for your specific question, I don't know the answer.

Best wishes,
Mason
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Old 05-21-2020, 12:36 AM   #7
Mason Malmuth
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Re: History of the World

Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno View Post
Congrats Mason, and I’m looking forward to getting the book. And I hope we all will have civil and interesting discussions about all the examples.
Hi Zeno:

Thanks, and I believe there's a lot of interesting topics in the book that we can address in more detail right here.

Best wishes,
Mason
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Old 05-21-2020, 03:48 PM   #8
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Re: History of the World

Is the purchase of Alaska in the book?
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Old 05-21-2020, 04:25 PM   #9
Mason Malmuth
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Re: History of the World

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Originally Posted by Lapidator View Post
Is the purchase of Alaska in the book?
No.

Best wishes,
Mason
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Old 05-21-2020, 06:21 PM   #10
rivercitybirdie
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Re: History of the World

bizarre how both stalin and howard hughes both had incredible power but ending up living horrible later lives in the equivalent of studio apartments.

mental illness
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Old 05-23-2020, 12:05 PM   #11
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Re: History of the World

Occupation?

Stand up Philosopher.

Ahh a bullchit artist!



I look forward to the book
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Old 05-28-2020, 12:34 AM   #12
Mason Malmuth
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Re: History of the World

Hi Everyone:

We now have received books from our printer. We'll immediately be shipping to Amazon meaning that those of you who ordered from Amazon should get your copy soon. Also, here are a couple of pictures of the book:





Best wishes,
Mason
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Old 05-29-2020, 11:43 AM   #13
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Re: History of the World

I just finished watching the History channel documentary of Ulysses S. Grant.
I must admit I didn't do to much study on what is a truly remarkable man.
From what I could find out, and which I don't think was in the docu., he was a card player.
The siege of Vicksburg, and how he had the ships go down the Mississippi River, past the enemy artillery, in order to transport his troops across, was a true gamble.
It would be a shame if he's not in the book.
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Old 05-30-2020, 12:39 AM   #14
Mason Malmuth
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Re: History of the World

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008 View Post
I just finished watching the History channel documentary of Ulysses S. Grant.
I must admit I didn't do to much study on what is a truly remarkable man.
From what I could find out, and which I don't think was in the docu., he was a card player.
The siege of Vicksburg, and how he had the ships go down the Mississippi River, past the enemy artillery, in order to transport his troops across, was a true gamble.
It would be a shame if he's not in the book.
Hi Nepeeme:

While Grant is mentioned in five places in the book, there is no chapter that features him.

For gambling to take place, the variance (or stand deviation) has to be large compared to the absolute value of the expectation, and this often happens when a military commander decides to try a non-standard strategy. That was not the case with Grant. Consequently, we would view the running of the guns of Vicksburg as a non-gambling event. If the expectation was positive, Grant would be successful, and if the expectation was negative, Grant would have failed.

However, Grant was a general who thought things out very well, and I doubt that he would have sent the boats by Vicksburg if he thought the expectation was negative. So this looks like a positive expectation play that is essentially a sure thing while a gamble, even if the expectation was positive, would not be a sure thing.

By the way, there are nine chapters in the book that feature different American Civil War battles. So, the Civil War is well covered.

Best wishes,
Mason
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Old 05-31-2020, 02:30 PM   #15
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Re: History of the World

looks good
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Old 06-02-2020, 01:09 AM   #16
Mason Malmuth
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Re: History of the World

Hi Everyone:

For those interested, Amazon is now showing the book in stock:

https://www.amazon.com/History-World...69HF242JCTGHEH

Best wishes,
Mason
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