Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
September 1914, a major pivot point (the first?) in the great war. My reason for the OP is something I read from Bertrand Russell in an essay (can't recall exactly which one) that he thought Britain should have stayed out of the war (he was famously jailed for his pacifist views), this would ensuring a swift victory by the Germans, a very short war and Paris would be a less charming city. Instead a very protracted war ensued with repercussions that reverberated throughout the 20th Century (and still reverberated). The repercussion were devastating - From millions of lives lost (see Robert Graves excellent book: Goodbye to all That) to the Versailles Treaty to essentially building the foundations for WWII. And much else.
Discuss whatever you think best using the above as a starting or jumping off point.
I think there were at least two decisive pivot points before September 1914. The first was the combination of pre-war planing and initial implementation by Helmuth von Moltke the Younger. The original "Schlieffen Plan" of deployment (Aufmarsch I West) envisaged a single-front war against France. When von Moltke correctly determined that a two-front war was inevitable, he revised, in Aufmarsch II West, the deployment plan in the west to free up 20% of German forces for use in the east. He did so by taking forces evenly from the right-wing attacking force and the left wing defending force, and even shifted the balance of quality troops away from the attacking wing. Despite having significantly less combat power than the minimum necessary established in von Schlieffen's conception, von Moltke still attempted the same strategic single envelopment that von Schlieffen's plan envisaged. The German offensive inevitably came up short, and the western front moved into 4 years of trench warfare at horrendous cost.
The second pivot point was the Battle of Tannenberg. This decisive defeat of the Russian 2nd Army attempting to cut off East Prussia, protected the exposed eastern province, and enabled the subsequent victory of the Masurian Lakes. Together these victories removed the threat of the Russian behemoth steamrollering Germany, and allowed Germany to focus on the western front - thus assuring a long and deadly war.
Three other decisive moments are the Battle of Gorlice-Tarnow, the second Russian Revolution of 1917 (Red October), and the battle of Amiens. Gorlice-Tarnow was a German/Austro-Hungarian victory in the Carpathians in the first to half of May 1915. It led to the collapse of the Russian line, the loss of Poland and the territory that subsequently became the new nations of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, and to Czar Nicholas taking personal command of the Russian Army.
The Socialist revolution took Russia out of the war and led to the formation of the Soviet Union. Indirectly it also led to the creation of four post-war states in former Russian territory (the three Baltic states and Poland). With Russia no longer in the War, the Germans could transfer significant forces to the western font. These forces, using new infiltration tactics, launched a spring offensive in 1918 that captured more territory in the west than any offensive since 1914.
The Battle of Amiens (August 8, 1918) marked the successful beginning of the final British offensive. It was a primarily Australian and Canadian attack that broke the German lines and effectively ended trench warfare on the western front.