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100/2: River C/R spot 100/2: River C/R spot

10-02-2010 , 01:43 PM
sauce is good, call
10-02-2010 , 01:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HedonismBot
I bet he's value shoving a straight and hoping to get looked up by a 10
fail on so many levels.... value raising turn maybe but value raise shove on river...no chance there is no value at all if anything with a straight hed prob c/c which is still a little thin for how the hand played out
10-02-2010 , 01:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Eskaborr
People saying villain wouldn't check here as a value line as much as betting: What makes you think sauces calling range is any wider than his betting range?
the board?
10-03-2010 , 08:59 PM
Hero's hand is not face-up at all. Villain likely perceives the bulk of hero's range to be marginally made when he c/raises the turn. Thus, assuming a thinking villain, he could c/raise with nearly anything he wants to continue with expecting hero to fold an extraordinary % of the time. Once hero calls, villain probably breaks hero's range down to: 1. Hands that have SD value that simply don't believe that villain has much here (1 pair type hands) 2. Two pair. Villain should be saavy enough to realize that hero NEVER has sets/straights here given drawy nature of the board, as they'd all 3bet the turn, and that the only pure "draw" in hero's hand would be 9x, of which hero prob will 3bet as a bluff some % of the time too (namely, the naked 9x hands with no/very little SD value; hands like 97 prob flats turn and reevals river). Thus, hero's range breaks down to 1-pair/2-pair type hands.

Now, villain is so unlikely to c/raise flushes and straights on this river, as you'll likely check behind all marginal SD hands or bluff missed 9x hands that he either misses value or should just check/call. ESPECIALLY since that river card looks like it could hit a ton of villain's range. So he's repping basically only a full house with something like T8/T7/set that filled up on river. BUT, all of these hands likely bet river, again, because they're just too afraid of having you check behind.

Also, we can't assume villain won't make mistakes, so he may even mistakely shove for value on the river with straights thinking you'd never have a flush in this spot (or god forbid Tx). He may also have initally given up on the river and instead gone for a last-ditch effort to bluff again. We have close to the top of our PERCEIVED range (the top of our range is two pair Tx hands that fill up on the river), so you have to snap this off.
07-25-2011 , 02:34 PM
hes got j9 call
07-25-2011 , 05:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MDMA
No, you don't bet AT (and of course no T whatsoever).

Yes, BLD is pretty much spot on; you call because a good player (regardless of his approach to the game) realizes the implications of your flop check.

No Ansky, it isn't any more difficult than this. If you want to get into 25th level leveling battles, then go ahead, I doubt you do much better than flipping a coin once you reach some nth level anyway. If you want to use some explo-proof, then I think BLD provided something that would work well here; 75% of responses said fold, and I can almost guarantee that 99% of those 75% responses don't have anything better in this spot more than 10% of the time.

Also, the whole "there is no difference between hand X and hand Y (where X is like seminut low and Y is seminuts)" is ******ed thinking altogether if you have any kind of respect for your opponent.

I agree the hand is interesting; mostly so in how very common flaws become blatantly apparent.
I actually disagree with most of this post, although yes you should prob check at and yes leveling has little to do with this spot
07-25-2011 , 11:33 PM
How often do you think Fisheye expects you do bet/fold the river? I would think not so much. I think best line in his spot is just overleading the river because you are checking back a bunch of stuff. I'm not sure you should bet a flush on the river or not, you do beat a straight though and I don't see him folding that ever so I think it's a b/f. I'm in the bet flop camp though, you can check back some other flush draws that play better on the turn imo, not that this river spot would be any different then.

*I also don't play 2 card games very often
07-26-2011 , 04:00 AM
^^ i hope u're kidding about checking back the flush OTR
07-26-2011 , 07:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by beHypE
^^ i hope u're kidding about checking back the flush OTR
I'm obviously not......explain plz and don't say "we have a 5 card hand and it's HEADS UP!"
08-01-2011 , 03:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stinger88
How often do you think Fisheye expects you do bet/fold the river? I would think not so much. I think best line in his spot is just overleading the river because you are checking back a bunch of stuff. I'm not sure you should bet a flush on the river or not, you do beat a straight though and I don't see him folding that ever so I think it's a b/f. I'm in the bet flop camp though, you can check back some other flush draws that play better on the turn imo, not that this river spot would be any different then.

*I also don't play 2 card games very often
Good post. Seems like a pretty strong argument for checking back river though.

Wouldn't he just lead the river with his straights like you said? C/c'ing the river with a straight seems really bad on his part, I mean we could be checking back AT!

Last edited by CabreraEra2; 08-01-2011 at 03:28 AM.
08-01-2011 , 09:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CabreraEra2
Good post. Seems like a pretty strong argument for checking back river though.

Wouldn't he just lead the river with his straights like you said? C/c'ing the river with a straight seems really bad on his part, I mean we could be checking back AT!
Yeah good point, don't see why he'd do something other than just bet. Even more reason to check behind small flush.
08-01-2011 , 10:01 PM
2 CR r the nuts like 99 percent of the time, so i call
10-16-2013 , 02:51 PM
idc if sauce is the best player in the world. or jungleman or ansky or whoever else posted in this thread that I barely read. Easiest river call ever. and lol at ppl saying stuff like chk back river

oh and btw, bump
10-16-2013 , 09:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hudegen
idc if sauce is the best player in the world. or jungleman or ansky or whoever else posted in this thread that I barely read. Easiest river call ever. and lol at ppl saying stuff like chk back river

oh and btw, bump
I mean this was 2009.
10-17-2013 , 11:21 AM
I know but how did this thread get so long? lolz nittaments
10-17-2013 , 01:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by riverboatking
imo if villian wants to bluff river with a high success rate his only real hope is CR.
a lead makes it too cheap for sauce to look him up, and he should realize sauce has a way higher % of hands he'll bet the river when checked to that will then fold to a CR then he has hands that will fold to a river lead.
Great post in a great, great thread. Sick hand.
10-18-2013 , 04:19 AM
jesus christ what terrible posts by me
10-18-2013 , 02:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WCGRider
I mean this was 2009.
trivial call these days you mean i guess?

      
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