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Yeah I guess we are assuming equal skills here, for a baseline.
How should we calculate average pot size for given hand & opponent range though? If we are 100bb deep it can be different than if we are 10bb deep I think. (opponent might be more eager to take down 20% of stack then 2% as well as we in position)?
We're assuming skill differences are negated and the EV comes solely from our hand equity.
I really think you'd need to resort to empirical evidence once again to figure out the average potsize in a limped pot.
You can come up with some ridiculously loose way of approximating it.. but then I start to question how valuable the results of our calculation becomes since we're making loose approximations based on looser approximations.
Example, probability of flopping top pair * probability of villain flopping top pair = 15-20bb pot. Probability of flopping air and not improving * probability of villain flopping air and not improving = 2-4bb pot. When you factor in every possible situation with your own approximatation of the pot size, you get the avg pot size for 10bb effective stacks..
And then again, it becomes very tedious and very likely inaccurate.
edit: In the end, it just comes down to the fact that human decisions are not a mathematical calculation. The best way we have of quantifying it is empirical evidence.
Last edited by u cnat spel; 10-06-2011 at 11:32 PM.