So, this is a years later update. These are all played at the $30 spin n go max games .
I have played semi-professionally these last few years. With Stars' new rakeback system, becoming a "select player w/ 50% RB" is attainable for me whilst still having a life outside of cards. Especially in this format, quick games and high rake. These games are fun as well, much more exciting and dynamic than regular spins. ICM also comes into play, which I am an expert at using to my advantage. So, ive decided to go full-time again.
The problem is, I still don't know if these games are beatable. I know skill-wise I am top 5 regs playing this format. It's been profitable , but not enough. There is no proper way to track these AND- It sounds silly for someone like me who has made a living off of high-variance games, but I constantly pick the worst boxes. I also have ran poorly in the handful of really big prize pools I've played. Often times a big win will involve picking between 2 shitty boxes and one mega box. Example from one I played months ago : $120, $200, and $1685, lol. I never take the cashout option because its -ev
IMPORTANT* Playing hyper-turbos for a lving, us regs LIVED by our EV graph. I have been molded into a stone-cold machine when it comes to losing, AS LONG AS I'M MAKING +ev decisions. Literally I could be losing the whole year and as long as my adjusted ev line was good, I would know to keep grinding and it would eventually turn around. I don't have these answers when it comes to spin n go max. And there is hardly any info about these. Anyone who's pursued these has stopped. (Past Pokerstars pro James from OP poker used to grind these, then he stopped. Although he claimed he got unlucky with box picking. Also stables and CFP groups will not let their students play these.
Long story short I am hesitant to pursue these. This is basically a cry for help lol.
CAN SOMEONE PLEASE TELL ME IF THE ABOVE GRAPH IS ACCURATE? I NEED SOMEONE TO SAY "Ryan, everything's gonna be ok. You have an impressive chip graph, and you haven't played nearly enough games for the shitty variance you have endured, to even itself out. In fact, there is so much variance in these, you probably need at least 20k games or more for your luck to start evening out. Because Ryan, you must understand that spin n go max, where the most common spin is a 5-handed winner take all with a shitty prizepool, is the most luck-variant format tha'ts ever been created. You must not only land in the good prizepools, but win your flips and pick your box right. Stars would never put out a format that's unbeatable, so just keep putting in volume and things will turn around"
^^ Is this what's happening or am I dreaming? Thank you in advance to anyone chiming in, much appreciated. -Ryan
"If Senzo Tanaka is his shidoshi, then show us the Dim Mak"