Quite the interesting spot and was basically wonder whether leading or c/c'ing is better. Checkraise seems pretty meh. Here's the hand:
Party Poker No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t30.00/t60.00 Blinds - 2 players -
View hand 931840
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DeucesCracked.com Hand History
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Hero (BB): t1750.00 29.17 BBs
BTN/SB: t2250.00 37.50 BBs
Pre Flop: (t90) Hero is BB with 8
K
BTN/SB raises to t120, Hero calls t60
Flop: (t240) 3
5
8
(2 players)
And the reads:
-Villain is a reg, used to be fairly nitty but opened up just a tiny bit. I estimate his preflop minraising range to be near the 60-65% range, possibly 70% but not more with these stacksizes. He doesn't limp with these stacksizes but does so when stacks get 24bb's or shallower (rough estimation, he frequently limps around 15bb's just to give an example).
-If I check he will bet 120 with most of his range but polar. So medium hands (2nd pair type of hands or A4 with 4h or smth he's most likely checking back but he will bet QJ with a heart or Kh/Ah or any toppair/overpair). If I checkraise I think I have to fold because I estimate his 3betjammingrange will have us in reasonably bad shape. I doubt he will even jam something like Q8ss just to give you an idea.
-Regarding barreling: he doesn't barrel that often really, i'm convinced he will not always bet a hand with 2 overs + fd if turn is a brick for example. Not that much reads on him here unfortunately, he just doesn't do it that much but not much experience with boards like these. He did 2barrel A72ddAx board and checked back 6x river with T9o though (which didn't make a lot of sense to me but whatever) in the beginning of this session (maybe even this game, don't remember exactly).
-If I lead he will play really straightforward. He'll float with a lot of hands with a heart, and raise only with nutted made hands (TP with a decent heart or made flushes or two pair or sets) or with strong draws so I can safely bet/fold really.
These are my other notes on him how irrelevant they may be even:
Quote:
nitty OOP, dont think he 3bet bluffs, doesnt defend too light
opens buttons reasonable nitty, doesnt barrel that much
doesnt checkraise a lot really, c/c's toppair at least sometimes
will start randomly 3bet when stuck
flatted QQ 17bb's deep, c/c TT2r, Jx turn checked through, lead 6x river quite big
limps fair amount when < 20bb's, plays super polar/straightforward in limped pots
So what is best here? Check/call and trap some dead money? Or lead and make the hand a lot easier to play?