Quote:
Originally Posted by pensodasolo
ok, thanks. the fact is that some players will call a three barrell on paired boards with stuff like A or K high or will raise a T, this why I tend to bet here ( I think 60-70% bet and 30 check back)
Even if I think someone is going to raise and stack off with TX, I'm still checking here. You will still get that guys stack most of the time when you check and you can still minimize losses vs 2x a lot of times. This is 8.5bb effective, so I'm not expecting to see any AX here and not much KX too. The kind of player that calls of a hand like K7 high card on like T22 J 3 runout is very likely the kind of player to just jam K7 pre imo. Even at deeper stacks vs the stations, I'd just check flop and size up turns/rivers - we still give villain a chance to turn 2X face up somehow.
When you say you bet 60-70% here and check 30%, are you referring to a mixed strategy? Or are you saying that you 60-70% of the time you think it's exploitatively best to bet?
Example of a spot I think we can get away from a setup if we check flop...
8.25 eff we limp QQ
Flop T22r, check/check
Turn 5, villain checks, we bet half pot, villain x/mr, we call
River 7 villain jams
I'm nit-folding here. Villain has a lot of 2X in check back range, it makes sense for 2X to play this way, I don't see bluffs take this line often, and I don't think TX takes this line much
So I think there's a decent chance villain will let us get away from hand when we are dominated.
Last edited by HokieGreg; 11-24-2020 at 08:10 PM.