Are Spin & Go Max tournaments beatable?

Does anyone know how long those 1 Million Special promos on stars.es are going to take?
Not looking to pay even more rake..

I guess that only Stars employees know that, and it's confidential info because they don't want competitors to know too much about their plans.

Just bumping this here to see if anyone can give some insight on the Stars $1m promotions on Spins
https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/1...spins-1732917/

Cheers

Hey Guys,

which is the best way to make postflop content for the spin&go's?

Is there a good video series or do you use a solver or study the theoretical of heads-up?

Thx!

It depends what level you are at and what you are willing to invest.

Mid to high level player "best" options - Join a quality staking program and take advantage of their constantly updated resources OR work alone as a skilled individual with solvers and situational review.

Mid to high level "other" option - Work in a small study group to review/use solvers (effectiveness varies based on motivations, discipline and skills of those you work with) OR work as an unskilled solver user to learn to use the solver (can be effective, but not always efficient to learn alone).

Low to mid level options - Staking program as mentioned above, video series (for low level players Coffeeyay's Beating Spins is still quite helpful, but mid+ are going to need more resources), forum posting for feedback (free, though it's hard to decipher between mulitple conflicting answers from users), small study groups (low quality advice is hard to overcome at low levels, but quality can start to improve at mid levels).

Does anyone have any insights into the game integrity(colluding, botting, etc.) of ignition/Bovada spin n gos?

Someone more familiar with the easier botting sites than myself may be able to provide insight on the botting front, but colluding/cheating it's hard to tell. If their registration is blind (not random) like PokerStars, then it's likely some people would line up and wait to get a game before registering, collusion wise I doubt that's happening and would not be worried, colluding in SNGs as teammates was a huge thing in the early 2000s and most people that did it got caught and/or lost money.

Hey guys. I just wanted to ask you if you think that my run it's normal? I don't know what to think anymore. That's 7s, not 60s or 100s. I know about variance, but that brutal, at 7s, 150 BI under EV? And I'm keep losing money, it's not like my EV is going up and my BR stays the same. Did any of you have experienced something similar at low stakes? Thanks!
https://imgur.com/a/4t1o8mw

what is your chip ev?

In those 2184 games the cEV is 58. But I can't complain tbh. At how I run, I'm happy with it. Overall it's 65. What surprises me is that with a 58 cEV in 2184 games, I'm down 100 BI when I should have been up 60 BI. I can't find any explanation. As i said, it's 7s not highstakes...

you probably have the wrong expectation about how stakes influence your BI(!)-swings. with the same cEV your swings will be higher, because rake is more. it is still very unlucky.

https://imgur.com/a/HoqcXQx
This is the graph since the nightmare has began...I never thought that at 7s you can run this awkward. As I said, i'm content with that cEV taking in consideration my run.

Someone has to pay for those 12,000x spins

59 cEV is very low for 7s and rake isnt helping you either, with that said, that variance is quite ridiculous but not what you should be focusing on really

Dozer, ya, I know that 59 cEV is not good for 7s, but look at my graph. I can't win at showdown. And when your opponent always has it on the river, it's pretty hard to achieve a better cEV.

Are you sure it's bad luck, not the population tendency to bluff the river less often than in the equilibrium that's exploitable by herofolding more often?

How big is your River Call Efficiency stat?

you are a literal chimpanzee if you can't achieve 120cEV on 7s while 10tabling

59 cev is arround 1.7% evROI without the top 4 multipliers.
Its pretty bad. And a waste of time to play with that.
Also dont let people tell you there are close to no regs at 7s. Theres plenty.
Not saying they are very good, but they will reduce your winrate either way.

Why are we discussing how good or bad is a 59cEV? I also said that it's not a good cEV for 7s, but even with that I should have been up 60 BI, not down 100. My overall cEV at 7s was 71 after 11k games and then I had ~3-4000 games of ****ty run all culminating with these last ~2000 nightmare games and now my overall cEV is 65. And you keep saying about how bad that 59 cEV but you don't seem to notice my ****ty run. Trust me, that kind of variance it's not that common at 7s no matter what you'll think. And when you're running bad, your EV has to suffer also...Anyway, I really appreciate your reply.

Its like a bottom 5% run. Either way, if you have a bigger sample you should rather look at that and post that aswell. How do we know you didnt run alot over ev in your previous games?

Sorso you're focusing on the stakes wich makes no sense. It's not like I'm playing 100s and I should swing more than you. 150BI is annoying but I was over 300BI EV difference in 10k games. Just keep studying and playing your best, I know it's hard when you are in a bad run but it's really the only thing you can do.

I'll do so. Thank you mate! I appreciate your answer!

Another thing, I didn't try to run some math behind this but I think that if you are extremely unlucky in 3H and you lose every damn flips I'm pretty sure you will have lower cev than another player with your same skill level.
Let's say you win a flip in the first hand of the spin, you will go HU with the bigger stack vs a player who is usually worse than you. That will generate a lot of CEV. If you are the big stack in HU and you are unlucky in this scenario losing flips, it will usually generate MORE cev instead, because you will play more hands against a worse opponent.

The player who's unlucky on the 3H spots will have more games on their database obv so it's not like they will gain much less money overall, but still, the variance in this game is so big for so many reason that you really have to consider your cev with a big +- range on it.
Add the fact that a 65cev player could run at ~30 for 5k games just because god is cruel you have to try your best and play as much as you can in your A game.
I know it's hard, especially if you are running bad for thousands spins but one of the best quality a poker player could have is to (almost) always play their A game no matter what and deal with huge swings without losing their mind inside and out of the poker tables and trust me, there is always so much to learn so don't be lazy on studying a lot every day.