Quote:
Originally Posted by squire1888
200 is a steal for the content in that, dont think about the price of a pack when buying it, think of what it can make u in the future
It's a good buy for decent learners (I'm a terrible learner) but there are factors reducing its value.
1. A lot of time is needed to internalise the content properly - at least 15 total hours of study for the 6 hours of video. For some people, that's worth extra $200-300 that they'd earn by grinding during these hours.
2. It's not clear how long the future of non-MTT online poker is. Perhaps there are around 6 months left until the sky falls (i.e.
Stars change the VIP program again taking extra money out of the poker ecosystem*), so I estimate that the positive effect of learning will last for ~20K games for grinders.
This means that studying the pack now is +EV if it adds 2 cents per game to the winrate. Well, I feel that it adds 10 cents at least. I'd spend $200 out of a $1K roll in a heartbeat if I were a decent learner because then I wouldn't need to move down to $3s and suffer from a temporary decrease in the per-game winrate. Whether it's +EV to spend $200 out of a $500 roll is not so clear, though starting to look for a real job seems more +EV in this case anyway.
* I'm probably more immune to the collateral damage than other regfish of smaller sites because the networks whose fields are going to toughen up the most are those that offer big rake-based rewards, i.e. Party, iPoker, WPN and Winamax, but I'm still a bit worried about my 'career' past March 2017.
Last edited by coon74; 10-06-2016 at 05:27 PM.