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Net Expected value vs actual outcome Net Expected value vs actual outcome

02-21-2012 , 05:04 PM
Hi 2+2ers,

I haven't played much 2011 but I am back at the tables and feel comfortable with my game. I started back at the 5s and plan to grind my way up to the 20s as I did before under the nick (Zinothegambler on ipoker)
(ZinoCasino on Stars and now 2LAG4U on ipoker again) I am grinding 20-30 sngs per day and I am running below EV on my pokertracker EV chart and the lines just grow apart as one would expect when having a downswing. I am actually running at 4% + but I am losing a ton of equity on the way. Here is the big question, since I am very very bad at dealing with variance, i would like to know how many do I need to play so that the two lines grow together. Up to now I have 400 games which is a tiny sample but its about 2 weeks hard work afterall.... thanks in advance for any constructive advice!

-Alex
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02-22-2012 , 10:02 AM
There is no magic number about this. But i can give you the best advise that i can think of: just try playing your best and not think about results and it will come up.

Also if you could stop checking these lines or you casher it could help as well.
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02-22-2012 , 10:19 AM
after nearly infinite number of games they should be nearly infinitely close. that's about as good an answer as there is

Truth is, that the lines do not have to ever converge in your lifetime. Just keep playing good poker and don't worry about it.
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02-22-2012 , 11:18 AM
If you are 100BI down in EV atm,the chances are you'll be 100BI in EV after 50k husngs.
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