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Need some help with how to analyze and adjust to villains stats Need some help with how to analyze and adjust to villains stats

07-18-2013 , 07:28 AM
Been playing a villain 3 matches and win them all, but tought i should go more into pt4 and analyze and adjust more to my opponents. Its hyperturbo SNG on FTP.

These stats and info is all 10/20 level.

Villain openraise 76.47% from SB and folds everything else.
Always minraised and never openshoved in the 17 hands i have on him.
He also folds to 3bet shoves 2/2 times and called my 2.5x 3bet with QJo

Right now i 3bet shove all PP and all aces.

I stoved his openrange and this range has more than 50% vs his range.
K2s+, Q7s+, J9s+, K6o+, Q9o+, JTo

Should i 3bet shove this range as well or 3bet 2.5xhisraise or just flatcall?

Not sure how to Calculate this and whats the best play here, so appreciate some toughts on this. Thanks!
Need some help with how to analyze and adjust to villains stats Quote
07-18-2013 , 02:17 PM
I have tought about this a little more, i guess im right if i 3bet nonAI with dominating hands against villain. I have seen him call my 3bet nonAI with QJ so think i should 3bet him then nonAI with JJ+, AQ, AJ, KQ, KJ.
But the one thing im not sure of is if the QJo hes called against me is bottom, middle, top of his range. So its not sure that the hands i mentioned above are dominating, so how do you adjust?
Do as me and 3bet with the range above and tighten up if villain only shows up with stronger hands in the future?
Is it any point in adding the 50+% equityhands i mentioned in the OP? I just like to be the agressor OOP since i play like crap in coldcalled OOP pots.
Need some help with how to analyze and adjust to villains stats Quote
07-19-2013 , 04:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by _Manificat_
...in the 17 hands i have on him.
You're over thinking things.

Quote:
Originally Posted by _Manificat_
folds to 3bet shoves 2/2 time
This is one of those stats which people often put too much weight on. Calling 3bet shoves 2/2 times is a MUCH bigger indication of any deviation from population tendencies. Even somebody why is super loose against 3bet shoves and calls 70% of hands is more likely to fold twice than call twice.

Just assume that villian has a normal 3bet calling range and 76% minraise range.

Quote:
Originally Posted by _Manificat_
I stoved his openrange and this range has more than 50% vs his range.
K2s+, Q7s+, J9s+, K6o+, Q9o+, JTo

Should i 3bet shove this range as well or 3bet 2.5xhisraise or just flatcall?
This isn't push fold. A hand having >50% vs a calling range has very little to do with whether it is a 3bet jam. Vs a wide minraiser, hands like 54o, J2s, 63s are better 3 bet jams than K8o and QJs. I could go on and on about why but I suggest you read merssenary's ebook which has a chapter covering 3betting

Last edited by Poisonlolz; 07-19-2013 at 04:28 AM.
Need some help with how to analyze and adjust to villains stats Quote
07-19-2013 , 05:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Poisonlolz
You're over thinking things.



This is one of those stats which people often put too much weight on. Calling 3bet shoves 2/2 times is a MUCH bigger indication of any deviation from population tendencies. Even somebody why is super loose against 3bet shoves and calls 70% of hands is more likely to fold twice than call twice.

Just assume that villian has a normal 3bet calling range and 76% minraise range.



This isn't push fold. A hand having >50% vs a calling range has very little to do with whether it is a 3bet jam. Vs a wide minraiser, hands like 54o, J2s, 63s are better 3 bet jams than K8o and QJs. I could go on and on about why but I suggest you read merssenary's ebook which has a chapter covering 3betting
Thanks, i will definitely go ahead and read it
Need some help with how to analyze and adjust to villains stats Quote
07-19-2013 , 07:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Poisonlolz

This is one of those stats which people often put too much weight on. Calling 3bet shoves 2/2 times is a MUCH bigger indication of any deviation from population tendencies. Even somebody why is super loose against 3bet shoves and calls 70% of hands is more likely to fold twice than call twice.
Mathematically when somebody MR calls 70% of his MR range; calling twice is more likely then folding twice; so either there is something absent in your reasoning or either this is flawed ...
Need some help with how to analyze and adjust to villains stats Quote
07-20-2013 , 01:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Emus
Mathematically when somebody MR calls 70% of his MR range; calling twice is more likely then folding twice; so either there is something absent in your reasoning or either this is flawed ...
I thought thats what i said o.O

Edit: Oops i meant 30% sorry haha
Need some help with how to analyze and adjust to villains stats Quote

      
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