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Merge .10 HUST flopped set against river jam. Merge .10 HUST flopped set against river jam.

06-14-2012 , 08:05 AM
My main question here is about bet sizing.. bigger on turn? My main thought was just setting myself up for a pot sized river bet.. when he jams, i scratched my head and called.. obv never folding to river jam right? Villian is an unknown.

Merge - $0+$0.00|<> NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 1,350.00
Hero (SB): 1,650.00

Hero posts SB 25.00, BB posts BB 50.00

Pre Flop: (pot: 75.00) Hero has 7 7

Hero raises to 100.00, BB calls 50.00

Flop: (200.00, 2 players) 7 3 2
BB checks, Hero bets 150.00, BB calls 150.00

Turn: (500.00, 2 players) 8
BB checks, Hero bets 375.00, BB calls 375.00

River: (1250.00, 2 players) A
BB bets 725.00 and is all-in, Hero calls 725.00

Spoiler:
Hero shows 7 7 (Three of a Kind, Sevens) (Pre 83%, Flop 72%, Turn 82%)
BB shows 5 4 (Straight, Five High) (Pre 17%, Flop 28%, Turn 18%)
BB wins 2,700.00

Last edited by fluffheadsr; 06-14-2012 at 08:14 AM.
Merge .10 HUST flopped set against river jam. Quote
06-14-2012 , 08:27 AM
I think the size of the turn bet is OK, I wouldn't go bigger than 350-375 and no, you can't fold a set here. You just have to be good more than ~ 1 out of 4 times to make the call +EV and altough villain's line looks like value he can do this with worse like two pairs.

Last edited by I<3Poker; 06-14-2012 at 08:33 AM.
Merge .10 HUST flopped set against river jam. Quote
06-14-2012 , 09:02 AM
+1 to I<3Poker, and yea snap call on river. He can do this with a lot worse and there's also busted draws who can try to bluff. Basically there's only 45 and 88 that can beat you in his range (if he even plays them like this).
Merge .10 HUST flopped set against river jam. Quote
06-14-2012 , 10:15 AM
is this a spot where a turn overbet could be used or is it going to fold out to many hands we want to come along?
Merge .10 HUST flopped set against river jam. Quote
06-14-2012 , 10:34 AM
I think you have to call since there arent many things that beat you here.
Looks like he had 3A or a lower set.
The 45 was just very unlucky I think.
Nothing wrong with the way you played this.
Merge .10 HUST flopped set against river jam. Quote
06-14-2012 , 10:43 AM
yeah when villain flat calls 54o OOP you want to rematch
Merge .10 HUST flopped set against river jam. Quote

      
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