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I probably found my leak, you help me? I probably found my leak, you help me?

02-21-2011 , 06:26 PM
I finished right now read this thread ( http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/18...ubukov-560408/ )

I'm on huge DS right now.
Im down 50-60BI from end of Jan to today. I'm playing 1500 chips, 5min blinds, 15/30, 25/50, 50/100, 100/200, 200/300 (very rarely)

I using HM, graph from 2011 show I ran really hot, but I'm not sure EV line is totally fair, for ex. I have JJ 9BB and OOP shove with K7 (his stack is 21BB), and I lost, EV is down.

So I click in Tourney > Report, and there I see:



So I think, I ran hot on higher blinds. Because I ran hot, probably I not playing it well. Very often I just look at NASH ( http://www.holdemresources.net/hr/sngs/hune.html ) and if there is 20+ where I'm 8-10BB I just push no matter what. But Im not sure what exactly numbers less than 20+ at NASH means.

This is how I generally playing.

On BTN

This is screen shot with stats only from BTN (SB):


>against guy who call mini raise, and 3bet very rarely I playing:
* 15BB and less I shove any pair less than pocket 99
* on 12BB and less very often I just play push/fold
* 7-15BB I mini raise JJ+

12-11BB, I shove A2s+,A2o, K8s+, K9o, QJs, QJo
10-8BB, I shove A2s+, A2o+, K2s+, K3o, Q8s+, Q9o, J8s+, J9o+, 109s, 89s,
7-5BB, I add any Qs, J5s+, J7o+, 107s+, 108o+, suited connectors 67+
4BB shove almost any two, but folding total crap



>against guy who 3bet often 9-13BB to mini raise, I mini raise/calling with:
-premium
-better aces A8+
-better kings K10+
-i open shove 22-77, and mini raise/calling 88+

but I also mix it with openshove also


>against guy who fold much on BB to mini raise I open wider, but not total crap. But these guys aren't often in my games.

>against guy who is calling a lot mini raise OOP and don't like ch/fold to cbet, 10-15BB deep I trying limp hands like suited connectors, 97, 108, J7, Q8, sometimes K7,K8

Generally I playing much more push/fold than mini raise,limp on 9-13BB.



On BB:

This is screen shot with stast only from BB:


At ^^ screen I see I rat hot on 25/50 blinds, and I have a big 3bet here. First thought was, maybe I 3bet shove too wide, I got called by better hands and I did a lot of suck outs? Maybe I did a good 3bet shove, but my opp hold often better hands? But maybe jus tmy shoves wasn't good...

My calling range shove 10BB and less is like on NASH, when stack are really shallow I make my range wider.

If my opp mini raise a lot 10-12BB I just shove with same range, I will call his shove. If he mini raise every hand my range is even wider.


Summary:
1. I ran hot in January and made 9% ROI after 1000 games, now I'm scare of my run, because probably I'm not that good and I need work on my game.
2. I wrote this, because I hope, maybe someone after reads this will see where my thinking is bad, and how can I analyze my game?
3. I'm pretty sure I need to improve my end game, and need help how do it! Please!
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-22-2011 , 04:30 AM
Is this ur sharkscope?

(I found it on another thread u posted it in)

If so, please point me to the huge downswing?

This is a pretty solid graph if u ask me. Just keep grinding it out. And if ur worried about ur endgame, send husng.com some cash and watch some vids on endgame. They have some that are quite solid.

Also: Mess arround with HUSNG.com's variance calculator, and u'll see what graphs can look like.
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-22-2011 , 04:48 AM
It looks like you have a lot of questions.
I think it's a good idea to get a (standard) membership at HUSNG.com. I've had it for a week now and it's been very helpful so far. They've got a lot of videos on a wide range of topics, including the ones you're inquiring about here. It's not expensive at all and if you're down 50-60 BI's it's gonna save you a lot.
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-22-2011 , 09:11 AM
@ t1lt, yes this is my graph, but after posted this I'm 2k$ down vs aBI not even 50$. I have premium on husng.com

och... I had hope, I will wake up, and see here something that help analyze game.
On husng.com a don't see a lot videos with end game, but maybe I'm blind?
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-22-2011 , 09:24 AM
that graph looks pretty solid, and this could easily be variance, i have a steady 7% roi over 12k games and there have been times where I've blown through $800 playing the 20's, it will happen, and don't rely on the ev graph to tell you the whole story. The one thing I noticed in these downswings is that I make things worse for myself by tilt shovin too light 18-25bb deep and chuckin away a decent chunk of my roi in the process. The only advice I can think of is try to not do that, take some days off and watch some videos and get back on it, the graph from before isn't a fluke, and it's not like everyone got better overnight, just acknowledge your downswing as bit of an anomaly and that may help you move past it.

edit;watch superturbo vids on husng.com for shallow play

also the games you play seem even faster than ftp turbo structure, I would be expectin pretty big swings.
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-22-2011 , 12:37 PM
Sample is kinda small imo. But i see you are kinda 3betting a bit low especially in the 15/30. Anyway if you want to analyze your graph,first of all to have conclusive data you need way more hands plus look at other stuff in HM. This is like basic stuff,look at what hands you are losing most money with,plus more parameters like % won at showdown,flop turn river aggression,c/r frequencies etc
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-22-2011 , 12:50 PM
In this thread I copy/paste only HU from 2011, and there is over 50k hands. I have little more hands with all turbos, and its all 170k, but idk how work with HM stuff to help improve my game.....
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-22-2011 , 01:39 PM
how the f do you get to 150/300? I never managed that, not even in deepstax
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-25-2011 , 01:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JSpazz
how the f do you get to 150/300? I never managed that, not even in deepstax
4-mans?
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-25-2011 , 04:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JSpazz
how the f do you get to 150/300? I never managed that, not even in deepstax
its 7 hands out of like 50k
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote
02-25-2011 , 12:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JSpazz
how the f do you get to 150/300? I never managed that, not even in deepstax
he was playing marco?
I probably found my leak, you help me? Quote

      
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