Looks like a fun game, can I play too?
Quote:
Originally Posted by callme
why would you think a Cbet would depend on my hand and not only on board texture and opponents tendencies?
Stations go to show down way more often than other players ... that's their tendency.
Quote:
Originally Posted by howdini
just dump implied hands like 67s
Er, totally depends upon stack sizes, no? And don't we have better implied odds vs. a calling station? He is much more likely to stuff the pot with a pretty pair those times we do flop well. Plus when we only flop pair on a low board they are ~100% guaranteed to float overcards. Just min-raise pre or, if they let you get away with it, limp and maximize your already huge IO.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ohly
in general, if you are betting halfpot, you need a success rate of less than 33%. make yourself aware of the fact that even if he calls 2 out of three times you are still showing a profit ... it is a good thing to adjust to this villain type and not bet horrible boards with no equity, but worse than not adjusting at all is overadjusting and stopping to cbet.
also as coffee pointed out, him not folding to cbets means that he gets to the turn with a weaker range and hence multiple barrells become more profitable.
^^^ Yeah, but seems like we only want to go multiple barrels when we can do so without committing too much of our stack. That hand with the flop cr + potting turn just looked like a train wreck. I assume OP had a nice draw there but isn't the advantage of drawing against a station that you pay a small price for your cards and get a high return when you hit? Building a huge pot trying to fold 'em out before you hit seems so backwards. If our value equation:
Pot Equity + Fold Equity + Implied Odds
hammering this hand is paying a huge price for what is likely a negligible improvement in our overall value. Basically, OP was just trading low cost IO for very high cost FE.
And, FWIW, against an unknown it seems like we have already established some aggression by the time we figure out he's a station. Don't you think we can adjust by playing a transparent but profitable strategy. Seems like by the time he adjusts we'll already have most of his stack. Granted, that's probably dependent upon stakes and I am lowly a micro donk.