Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $20(BB) Replayer
($580)
Hero ($420)

Dealt to Hero Q 5

Hero raises to $40, calls $20

FLOP ($80) K 2 T

checks, Hero checks

TURN ($80) K 2 T Q

bets $40, Hero calls $40

RIVER ($160) K 2 T Q 6

bets $80, Hero ?

Villain is tight on bb and flatted 3/13 hands and never 3betted me yet

On flop i probably missed cbet

As for futher streets i think his range of 2 barrels is pretty strong

On turn i think he can bet some hands that i beat such as j8,jt,t9,t8 but on the river he has showdown value and i don't think he bets here tx hands.

If he bluffs some jx hands here and some flushdraws i have 20-27% so the call is pretty close (i need 25%)

Really don't see many hands he decided to bluff with no showdown value but i see here many Kx, Qx 2pairs+

What do you think about river fold?

Please explain your point if view

Bet is small enough to be a blocker, so 10 is easily possible, plus a ton of draws, plus great po = snap call river. And yes, definitely cbet vs tight villain on this board.

Sorry for the fishy question and off topic, I'm reading a lot of "I need a xx% to make the call profitable" and I know that without knowing this I'll lose money in the long term, probably in micros following certain things like "push fd's when u have fe" works, but that's not all I want.
So if anyone is kind and gives me a link or something to read about those things I would be very happy, I don't want to waste anyone's time by explaining it.


PS: In my opinion cbet there, 2nd barrel, check behind river w/o spade -> nothing worse calling, if fd misses he could be betting those.