Blinds are 100/200, Villains stack: 4800 Hero's stack: 3200. Blinds are posted and hero limps on sb with 46s (I know weak play), Villain checks. Flop comes 579rb, hero checks and villain bets pot making total pot 800. Villain is tight-aggressive player.
I think raising is giving him incentive to push so thats the last thing I would do. My question is would it be better ev to push rather than call?
Pushing would be laying 3½-1 (2800-800) so villain would have to fold 77.5% of the time to breakeven but hero has about 34% insurance if he calls.
Would a call be -ev since villain will cbet turn 50% of the time ½-pot, and chances of hitting turn are about 17%?
I encountered a similar situation (not exactly like this) and started to think if its -ev at times like this to flat call even if you are getting good pot odds? I don't play much SNG's so I never really thought about it. Thanks for the answers.
You push.
Board has a lot of draws he will fold.
You showed weakness on 2 ocassions so his bet doesn't imply any strength here.
Don't call, for the reasons you stated on the OP.
Also, this is not heads up, BB acts first postflop in a HU situation. Mention how many players folded before you. What the payout structure was. Their stacks.
They are all relevant.
