Expresso on winamax.fr. Standart run ?
01-06-2016
, 12:35 PM
Hey all,
Im grinding the 100's expresso on Winamax ( = Spin n go with 7% rake ) since 1 month. I have a sample of 3k game. OVA i've played 15k of spin n go + expresso.
My ev chips/ game is 56 on my 2k9 expressos sample but my last 1k game are around 38.
Ill show you some graph + swongsim simulation to explain you why im here today.
This is my 2k9 game graph
It's a 56Ev chips/game
This is my HU graph on expresso
With an 56 Ev chips/game my Ev imt% should be
556/1500 = 37.06% ( Is that right ? )
Let me now use SwongSim. I put my ev itm% + 3k game + the winamax prizepool distribution and it said that:
Im droping 190BI so swongsim said that i had around 1% prob that happen with my current sample on winamax.
Here is my question is that standart ? Everything is normal and i should keep grinding ?
It's not a whine i'm really asking you.
Ty in advance.
Im grinding the 100's expresso on Winamax ( = Spin n go with 7% rake ) since 1 month. I have a sample of 3k game. OVA i've played 15k of spin n go + expresso.
My ev chips/ game is 56 on my 2k9 expressos sample but my last 1k game are around 38.
Ill show you some graph + swongsim simulation to explain you why im here today.
This is my 2k9 game graph
It's a 56Ev chips/game
This is my HU graph on expresso
With an 56 Ev chips/game my Ev imt% should be
556/1500 = 37.06% ( Is that right ? )
Let me now use SwongSim. I put my ev itm% + 3k game + the winamax prizepool distribution and it said that:
Im droping 190BI so swongsim said that i had around 1% prob that happen with my current sample on winamax.
Here is my question is that standart ? Everything is normal and i should keep grinding ?
It's not a whine i'm really asking you.
Ty in advance.
01-06-2016
, 01:50 PM
It's not a whine it's a brag 
Your chip ev is very good indeed and as you saw on swongsim the deviation is not standard. I played 5k games at that limit on Winamax.fr, maybe we have played against each other the past few months and i've downswing too of approximatively 150 BI but with a 35,9% itm so it's way way more standard for me (and i have more games). Vgl on your grind and of course keep going on !
Your chip ev is very good indeed and as you saw on swongsim the deviation is not standard. I played 5k games at that limit on Winamax.fr, maybe we have played against each other the past few months and i've downswing too of approximatively 150 BI but with a 35,9% itm so it's way way more standard for me (and i have more games). Vgl on your grind and of course keep going on !
Last edited by AAlBatAArd; 01-06-2016 at 02:04 PM.
01-06-2016
, 07:10 PM
some people are in the top 2% you're in the bottom 2%. Standard isn't really an applicable term--it's "standard" for 2% of people with your ev itm to have those results...
As for "if you should keep grinding", if you grind another sample of same size with same itm you will lose the same amount you did this time about 2% of the time. You'll also be up ~1k buy-ins 2% of the time. The choice is yours
EV-itm is the best indicator of future earnings, and swong sim just gave you that distribution of future winnings--you have all the info to make an educated decision.
As for "if you should keep grinding", if you grind another sample of same size with same itm you will lose the same amount you did this time about 2% of the time. You'll also be up ~1k buy-ins 2% of the time. The choice is yours
EV-itm is the best indicator of future earnings, and swong sim just gave you that distribution of future winnings--you have all the info to make an educated decision.