Ultimately bubbled. I have folded AK in this position before and often wondered am I doing the right thing.
The push is heavily +EV on ICMIMZER, however villain's call is also +EV, I would likely have shoved 55's but as played fold against a shove. ICMIZER acknowledges there is a 15% chance of going bust with the AK shove. Is that 15% too much with smaller stacks on bubble? There is obviously profit to be gained from finishing on a larger stack in this format.
Keen to hear opinion on maybe just calling or folding here.
PokerStars - 100/200 Ante 25 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 1,704
CO: 3,440
Hero (BTN): 2,779
SB: 2,377
BB: 1,700
5 players post ante of 25, SB posts SB 100, BB posts BB 200
Pre Flop: (pot: 425) Hero has A
K
fold,
CO raises to 800,
Hero raises to 2,754 and is all-in,
fold,
fold,
CO calls 1,954
Flop: (5,933, 2 players) 9
Q
4
Turn: (5,933, 2 players) 9
River: (5,933, 2 players) 8
CO shows 5
5
(Two Pair, Nines and Fives)
(Pre 55%, Flop 75%, Turn 80%)
Hero shows A
K
(One Pair, Nines)
(Pre 45%, Flop 25%, Turn 20%)
CO wins 5,933