$7 Turbo w/ TPGK in 3bet pot vs. profitable player - Heads Up SNG and Spin and Gos -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

Two Plus Two Forums Poker Strategy No Limit Tournaments Heads Up SNG and Spin and Gos

$7 Turbo w/ TPGK in 3bet pot vs. profitable player

Post Reply Subscribe

...

02-02-2014 , 02:48 PM

MBJ_UK

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 150

Should I fold the river? I have no other reads other than SS saying he's profitable at $15s and $7s over 500 games. I personally didn't think he would float two streets here with less than KQ?

PokerStars - $6.71+$0.29|15/30 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 49.67 BB
SB: 50.33 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 41.67, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 15)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K

SB raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 6 BB, SB calls 4 BB

Flop: (12 BB, 2 players) 2

Hero bets 6 BB, SB calls 6 BB

Turn: (24 BB, 2 players) 7

Hero bets 12 BB, SB calls 12 BB

River: (48 BB, 2 players) T

Hero checks, SB bets 26.33 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 25.67 BB and is all-in

Spoiler:

I guess if I'm being results oreintated I could say it's a good call :P but then I don't think this is a common result at $7 vs. a winning player.

Quote

02-02-2014 , 03:25 PM

ijustclickbuttons

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 103

Quote:

I personally didn't think he would float two streets here with less than KQ?

Based on that he is a thinking player I would say, try looking at it more open minded. What would you think if I said that he could be calling flop,turn and plan to shove river, because it puts you in a "very tough" spot and he's getting 2:1, you hardly called with tp and pretty good kicker, I guess it works for him.

Board: 5

*******Equity*****Win*****Tie
SB*****11.16%***9.87%***1.29%*{ AJs-A3s, KJs-K6s, Q7s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, A7o-A6o, K7o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T8o+, 98o }
BB*****88.84%**87.55%***1.29%*{ KhJc }

Last edited by ijustclickbuttons; 02-02-2014 at 03:36 PM.

Quote

02-02-2014 , 04:32 PM

watergun7

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 2,796

Easiest call ever. I think you should have shoved river though, especially given your flop and turn sizings.

Quote

02-02-2014 , 05:09 PM

Sentient Ape

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 249

Quote:

Originally Posted by watergun7

Easiest call ever. I think you should have shoved river though, especially given your flop and turn sizings.

I agree with the easy call, but shoving river is marginal. AK/KQ I think is fine to shove here, but we should also be looking to let some of villains missed draws bluff on river, assuming KJo is the bottom of our value 3bet range, I would be x/c KJo, ATdd, ATcc to balance my river checking range with my weak showdown value that I decided not to bluff rivers with. Otherwise we give villain a max EV bluff spot with hands like AJdd, which he did decide to bluff with.

So OP, you played the hand perfectly, even though you didn't know it :P

Quote

02-02-2014 , 05:15 PM

watergun7

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 2,796

It's not that important to let villain bluff missed draws imo. We already bet flop and turn so big that villain really should be calling wider otr with his bluffcatchers, and less inclined to bluff. That was my point.

If I played the hand I prob bet flop/turn smaller and check call river.

Quote

02-02-2014 , 06:40 PM

Sentient Ape

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 249

Quote:

Originally Posted by watergun7

Gotcha. Also just noticed effective stacks are ~50bb, so yeah I agree with you.

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...