7$ Spin&Go, just a beginnig. Hit mid pair + OESD. Facing pot size donk. - Heads Up SNG and Spin and Gos -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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7$ Spin&Go, just a beginnig. Hit mid pair + OESD. Facing pot size donk.

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06-10-2015 , 11:37 AM

kminnik

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 101

When I saw this while playing, my first thought was to snap fold because of the bet sizing and no odds. Then I started to think "Hey I have implied odds, with such a strong bet and he has so little behind that he will stack-off with me on any turn with his TP or 2pairs (which he represents)... but now I'm not sure if he's likely to stack-off with TPGK or his 2pairs when the K or 8 hits. What do you think?

Poker Stars, $6.58 Buy-in (10/20 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #36704271

Hero (BTN): 430 (21.5 bb)
SB: 470 (23.5 bb)
BB: 600 (30 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9

Hero raises to 40, SB raises to 60, BB folds, Hero calls 20

Flop: (140) Q

(2 players)
SB bets 140, Hero folds

Spoiler:

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

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06-10-2015 , 01:07 PM

alexrjl

adept

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 1,058

Are you really going to be happy getting it in if a K hits?

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06-10-2015 , 02:33 PM

pretorian_st

adept

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 858

Are you aware you do not have open ender?

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06-10-2015 , 03:18 PM

spamz

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 9,207

Kinda nasty but fold imo. Didn't think I would post that as advice after having read title.

Not sure why you're thinking "implied odds". What outs are clean in your opinion? And it's not like you have a lock if you bink turn. Probably close to 0% chance you can have 100% on turn.

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06-11-2015 , 12:14 PM

kminnik

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 101

Quote:

Originally Posted by spamz

Not sure why you're thinking "implied odds". What outs are clean in your opinion?

I thought about implied odds because if he bets 140, then I have 140 to 280(pot) + his 270 behind (if he booms turn all the time) ~ 1:4. I Calculated K's J's and 8's as my outs and this is about 1:4. I'm not sure like you all if I can count K's as my outs and this is why I'm asking. Thanks for criticism.

Quote:

Originally Posted by spamz

And it's not like you have a lock if you bink turn. Probably close to 0% chance you can have 100% on turn.

I'm semi-good english speaker, not sure what does it mean. What is "lock on turn"? "0% chance on that I can have 100% on turn" - Do you talk about equity ? Yes I probably haven't. I missed that... Thanks

Thanks to all for all answers.

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06-11-2015 , 12:53 PM

spamz

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 9,207

Not even sure Jx or 8x is always good tbf.

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06-12-2015 , 08:19 AM

restorativejustice

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 2,753

At that level, I call knowing that I am only about 30% against his range (not including semi-bluffs like smaller pocket pairs and AK nut hands) on the belief that with position I don't have to put another penny in the pot; and, if I hit (or can bluff a flush if need be) or if he is committed to bluffing garbage, I get most or all of it.

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