So I am playin €30+3 sng hu in Microgaming.Blind up every 10 hands.
My opponent is familiar regular to me, but he is mediocre regular(-2% roi), playing pretty poorly especially when he is tilted/affected.
So thats exactly the case in this situation.I took him like 3-4 HUs in a row, and i noticed that he started to play more aggressive, and also he made some spew calls and bluff raises.
It is good for you to know we are playing at 2 tables.
Here are his HUD stats for 800 hands.
75/26 with 11% 3bet
call open: 54%
steal limped pot: 29%


Seat 1: ChaLuck ( $1560.00 USD )
Seat 2: empower1 ( $1470.00 USD )
empower1 posts small blind [$10.00 USD].
ChaLuck posts big blind [$20.00 USD].
Dealt to ChaLuck 8 10
empower1 calls [$10.00 USD]
ChaLuck checks
** Dealing Flop ** 4 A 6
ChaLuck checks
empower1 checks
** Dealing Turn ** 7
ChaLuck bets [$35.00 USD]
empower1 calls [$35.00 USD]
** Dealing River ** 9
ChaLuck bets [$95.00 USD]
empower1 raises [$190.00 USD]
???
So do you raise/fold or just call his raise.My problem here with raise/folding is that he is really capable of shoving for bluff, especially now when he is kind of tilted.But obv i have pretty good hand, and i think he is most likely to hold two pairs or also straight.Also at this moment i thought he would bet the flush draw on the flop, and deffinetly raise me on the turn.
So raise or call, and if he shove our raise what we do?

Based on how you have described the villain, im thinking he probably raises a flush on the turn. However, it's easily possible for him to have hands like 94/96/97 based on the fact that he's limped and he's tilting.

The fact that he's only flatted the turn wants to make me reraise the river and call a shove purely based on the opponent.

the chances that he will be 4bet bluffing are neglectable. i'd only fear that he is shoving worse hands for value, like two pairs or sets. i doubt he will do this alot as he probably won't exlude a flush from your range, so i would go to 500 and fold to a shove.

I think we can exclude sets from his range according to OP's read.
So it's 2 pair, lower straight or a flush, and maybe air?

I tend to call this instead of raise, but I think it's really close.

I also think with the feeling of "being there" and getting to feel the game flow can give a much better sense of how he plays instead of reading your reads Atleast for me. So I can see why people would raise.

i would raise the river small
there are so many weaker hands especially if villain is spewy/tilting and overplays hands in these spots