$3.50T - calling turn with 3rd pair + OESD vs aggro? - Heads Up SNG and Spin and Gos -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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$3.50T - calling turn with 3rd pair + OESD vs aggro?

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09-19-2015 , 10:55 AM

obbudsman

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,472

PokerStars - $3.32+$0.18|20/40 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 50.85 BB
SB: 24.15 BB (VPIP: 65.38, PFR: 61.54, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 27)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T

SB raises to 2 BB, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (4 BB, 2 players) 8

Hero checks, SB bets 2.65 BB, Hero calls 2.65 BB

Turn: (9.3 BB, 2 players) 9

Hero checks, SB bets 6.18 BB, Hero calls 6.18 BB

River: (21.65 BB, 2 players) 2

Hero checks, SB bets 13.33 BB and is all-in, fold

Villain opens 77% and cbets flop and turn 100% over a small sample. His standard cbet size is >1/2 pot. Is this turn call too marginal? Assuming Villain doesn't second barrel air on this runout, I believe I've got between 10 and 13 outs. Given his bet size I'm not getting immediate odds to call, but should I call because of implied odds?

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09-21-2015 , 08:07 AM

kakospaidis

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 573

Imo I think you should fold in this spot.
And I really don't think that you have that many outs by far.
I mean ok the flop call is super STD but once the turn hits,it may look good for your range assuming vilain is not double barreling his air,but if he does and you decide to call,many of your potential outs might give him the best hand.
Plus,in a HUSNG you rarely have the implied odds to call a bet tha might give you the best hand on the river.He could be barreling all of his pair+gutters,and pair+FD's that have you crushed by now.
Just fold turn IMO!

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