Poker Stars $3.40+$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10/t20 Blinds - 2 players -
View hand 2252137
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Hero (BTN/SB): t510 25.50 BBs
BB: t490 24.50 BBs
Pre Flop: (t30) Hero is BTN/SB with 6
7
Hero raises to t40, BB calls t20
Flop: (t80) 8
4
7
(2 players)
BB checks,
Hero bets t40, BB calls t40
Turn: (t160) K
(2 players)
BB checks,
Hero bets t100,
BB raises to t260, Hero?
Enemy is unk, 1 hand he folded to a cbt, second mr/c ATo pre and got a split vs my higher A.
Hand gameplan:
Flop - easy value bet.
Turn - I assume villain is bad (as every unk at those stakes) so it's an easy barrel for me, not expecting to get c/r lightly. I size it a little bigger to rep a turned K and set up an easy river shove on most runouts. I get c/r which obviously means no good but I honestly don't know what to do against this sizing. I want to know what is
max EV.
Even if I give him a nutty range of Kx only I still have 2:1 vs that range and he's giving me a very good pot odds to draw. My options:
-fold and be left with a healthy stack
-call and fold river unimproved (obv) which allows him to play perfectly vs my completed draws (but I doubt avg opponent at those stakes is able to do that)
-reshove all-in
Once again, I don't care about variance, nor "wait for a better spot" response I only care what is max EV. During the game I took what I think is the worst route (3) but now I'm heavily shifting towards 2.