Btw, the stagnation of winrate worries me in the first place and I am doing a great job on this issue.

Can't share whole sheet, but part of it.
If we look at ratio vsReg/vsFish hands
Its got worse and worse over time.

Obv there is a part of my bad experiments with styles.
But games become tougher is a fact.

That doesnt look very good. Do you think the reg to fish ratio will be getting any worse? It is also bad that the regs are always getting better quite fast with all these stables. Even fish might be gettinf a bit better slowly over time just general population changes. Do you think there is a future in spins?

Besides Q4 of 2017, it looks like your reg to fish ratio is pretty consistent (within 5-10% of each other per quarter).

What is your definition of regs vs fish on the chart?

What is your average tables in each of these quarterly breakdowns? That is important information not present.

Players overall getting better over time is an inarguable fact since the beginning of poker (or the stock market, or pretty much anything people spend time at). It is how you rank compared to that playerbase that is most relevant. In simple terms, if you improve 2x in 5 years and the playerbase improves 1.5x, then the games could be easier for you on year 5 compared to year 1 (technically a few other factors such as edge deterioration as both parties improve).

We can't tell how you are playing skill wise over time though, especially a more eccentric player such as yourself, so the data, while interesting, isn't particularly helpful or meaningful to readers.

values in percentages are: 58.4/50.1/46.6/49.1/47.8

linear regression gives you over a 2% decline per quarter, big deal imo if his data is accurate.

I was remarking about his 2018 when referring to % games against regs.

But his games played is not nearly the same in these quarters either (linear regression isn't the method to use with such varying hand samples, among other reasons), and for the smaller samples in particular we don't have time of day played distribution #s which we've seen historically in HUSNGs and a few other formats (possibly every format?) to have a major impact on the % of regs that are playing relative to the population.

We also don't have the definition of "fish" or regs and using two broad categories of player is also quite the simplification in most forms of poker, Spins included.

Like I said, the data is interesting, but I don't think it's particularly meaningful. Based on your post, it sounds like you'd expect his Q2 to be 45.8% games vs regs. I don't see from this data how that would be any more likely than 48%.

Definition fish and regs sorted by alias in PT4 with hard selection.
I add in alias almost all regs and bots and split my DB vs alias players/not in alias.
And obv in my sheet i tracked how some "exploit" lines affected my EVBB/100 against all type of opponents.

Yeah, I agree that not only fish/reg ratio reduce my winrate.
There is a lot of factors like bad strategy, bad run without EV deal.
I'm huuuge underEV and it works simple.
You jam with AK vs 33 in 3max and lose.
In best scenario you could win and continue to play vsFish in HU.
This greatly affects the overall winrate.
At this moment I'm under 1million chips underEV for a whole year.
When you lose every allin and can't continue the game, it's not surprising that winrate is bad.

But I'm not excusing myself.
I made a lot of mistakes and was too lazy.
Poker is getting tougher and you need to spend more time.
I think for people like me, if you do not spend in poker 300-400 hours a month, they have not future.

I dont have even 300 hours a month.
So, I say to myself "Don't expect good results, dude, you lazy dumb"

i'd rather have no future than no life tbh

how can you be a million chips under EV? that's 2000BI in chips

you sure you got that correct? that's nowhere near the variance I've seen ever before in CEV from anyone

either you're the unluckiest person in the world, or smth is wrong with your PT4

running 2000BI below EV is one thing, but 1M in chips, wtf

Half milli just in HU allins.
Btw, there is interesting moment how 100s and 30-40s ai graph dancing.
at 100s you cant get so much edge in AI's, but at 30-40s you can.
Fishies spewing. And yea, from graph changes angle, i removed GTO AI calls.

That's really sick. I'm running at EV and biggest swing is 80k chips (on a total of 170k chips). But my WR in BB/100 is twice as high. No idea how I do that. Probably I'm much more risk-averse vs recreationals than you are.

Having no life isn't forever, it will only take 5 years or so to earn enough capital for passive income. Life begins at 40

Can you once post total graph without using any filters since very first spin hand played?

+1

+1

Might be because you arent 10tabling? How can you even compare that

it's great to see that despite a lot of bad variance you are still alive and kicking!
GL!

do you use simplepostflop ? what do u think about this software?

...still waiting.

Anyway you seem to run okish even in your last "bad run" graph according to BI under EV. What is swongsim telling about it? I estimate chance of running like that to be 50%+ with such a low chipEV.

Imagine of being unluckiest 5%. You would have quit long time ago without help of your jockeys.

I doubt it's possible for him to load all hands in to a PT4 without it becoming unusable tbh.

Well, you can just make database for all spin hands and delete it afterwards if it makes hud appear slower or something (btw he doesn't use hud). I personally use HM2/3 and H2N and importing 10M hands isn't a problem.

I've seen excuses of lost hand histories, some hand on other laptop bull**** from FREEQ, but you can actually ask ps to send you all played hands since spins launch date SEPTEMBER 2014.

+1, he was running massive above ev during his evdeal. Thats the risk of being a horse.

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/c...58c7d39a12.png

isnt this worst 1%? come on.. stop talking ****, how can u deal with that ?

obvioustroll and saintanna hating cause they can't beat $100 spins 1 tabling if not in a 2 fish game lol

being a hater is for losers.


very tough run indeed freeq. respect

worst 1% would be -80k and 50% break even i guess

Challenge update:

Firstly, trolling, hating, idiotic questions is killing any motivation to continue this thread,
but I always said, that I'm not a top of the world and not even in top50 of spin players.
I'm just enjoy the game and do what I want.
And will continue this thread even if there will be only 1 reader or 99% haters.
This is my history, my way, my feelings.
Probably after 3-4 years I reread this thread and get so much fun and nostalgic.

Secondly, lost almost 100 EV buyins at 30s in last week, it is so crazy.
So much 2p in 2p and flush in flush hands, and obv absolutely dead preflop.
Lost 1 chipev from overall winrate at 30s

But ok, my plan to play 30s in bad reg/fish ratio
100s in avg/good and 250s when lobby is free or 1 weak reg playing.
Basically it is time selecting, for my timezone day is bad time / night is good / early morning top for grind

I will play this challenge as much as possible and try to bring it to the end.
And no matter what difficulties will be on the way.
So far everything is going against me and there is no until positive events in my side.