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 reg- King high flush facing overbet shove on the river  reg- King high flush facing overbet shove on the river

03-18-2011 , 06:40 PM
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 21 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (2 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) (t1900)
SB (t1100)

Hero's M: 63.33

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, K
SB bets t40, Hero calls t20

Flop: (t80) 2, 9, 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, SB checks

Turn: (t80) 10 (2 players)
Hero bets t40, SB calls t40

River: (t160) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets t80, SB raises to t1020 (All-In), Hero ?

Villian has a -20% roi. A very weak tight player, bets big when has it and will fold to raises after betting small. I have made some big lay downs against him in the past. He defends about 60% of his BB, and 3bets 6% in about 90 hands.
 reg- King high flush facing overbet shove on the river Quote
03-18-2011 , 06:53 PM
Easy fold imo, this overbetships are always very strong, and given his roi you cant exclude a FH, he han also easily have the ac.
 reg- King high flush facing overbet shove on the river Quote
03-18-2011 , 06:56 PM
Really? A full house on this board on the river?
 reg- King high flush facing overbet shove on the river Quote
03-18-2011 , 07:06 PM
It would be really terrible by him to play any possible FH this way , but hes a big fish so you cant really discount it imo, but i agree that the Ac is much more likely
 reg- King high flush facing overbet shove on the river Quote
03-18-2011 , 07:08 PM
What's his steal %?

I fold here too, I don't think pot is big enough to justify risk.
 reg- King high flush facing overbet shove on the river Quote
03-18-2011 , 08:29 PM
Bet bigger on both streets.

Obvious fold.

He's never bluffing, so you need him to be value shoving worse. How many combos of Ac and fullhouses (T9o) are there, and how many combos of Qc? You have some pot odds, but even if he has 1 combo of T9o and shoves Ac and Qc 100%, because he has far fewer combos of Qc that calls the turn compared to Ac, this is still a fold, so you need him to do this with Jc and such some % of the time. Remember, too, that he certainly isn't going to shove Qc anywhere as often as Ac.
 reg- King high flush facing overbet shove on the river Quote

      
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