$2 turbo 4man - pair and fd on turn - Heads Up SNG and Spin and Gos -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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$2 turbo 4man - pair and fd on turn

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03-16-2011 , 09:44 AM

kikpo

enthusiast

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 61

Poker Stars, $2 Buy-in (20/40 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 2 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #8251992

Hero (BB): 3,300 (82.5 bb)
SB: 2,700 (67.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7

SB completes, Hero checks

Flop: (80) K

(2 players)
Hero checks, SB checks

Turn: (80) Q

(2 players)
Hero bets 80, SB raises to 360, Hero ?

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

Villain looks tight passive so far (early in the match). Its second hand when I bet pot on turn oop (he folded first one) so prob he was waiting for. I don't really think he is bluffing here so push is no option. Have we good implaed odds to call? Im not sure we can counting our kicker, even Q.

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03-16-2011 , 03:04 PM

ChrisCrocker

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 1,910

Call, you have ~29-36% equity vs an Ace/King/queen with a higher kicker and getting almost 2:1 on your call. Considering there was no betting preflop, I doubt he has 2pair on a board like this or even a set of 6s. If he does have TJo, you still have 20% and can win his whole stack if a

comes.

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03-16-2011 , 03:06 PM

JSpazz

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 6,694

yeah I think you can call, you have enough IO to wait for a flush and you can still bink a Q/7

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03-16-2011 , 04:08 PM

MatH

stranger

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 5

Villain on a pretty tight range:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.486% 26.49% 00.00% 2156 0.00 { Qh7h }
Hand 1: 73.514% 73.51% 00.00% 5984 0.00 { QQ+, 66, A2s+, KTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, JTo }

73.514 to 26.486 = 2.78 to 1. So to pay t280 for another card you must expect to make t280 * 2.78 = t778.4. There is t520 already in the pot, leaving t258.4 to get in on the river, which will be 32.3% of the pot. Implied odds are good.

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03-16-2011 , 04:11 PM

ChrisCrocker

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 1,910

Quote:

Originally Posted by MatH

you think he has QQ or better considering action pre?

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03-16-2011 , 04:46 PM

MatH

stranger

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 5

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChrisCrocker

you think he has QQ or better considering action pre?

I think it's a possibility. It's a $2 match and

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Villain looks tight passive so far

A lot of inexperienced players will limp QQ+ and try to get very trapy. It's obviously the least likely of his holdings, but I see no reason to outright exclude it from his range.

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