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09-30-2011 , 11:36 AM
Probably getting bullied by a solid playerīs 3bets here. This is like his 9th 3bet in this first match. I always folded so far.
Shove anyone, given effective stack size?

We should have ~30% equity against his calling range (like 99+, AJ+?).
That means we need 2.5 folds for each call to profit if I got the maths right.

If we donīt shove, whatīs your range estimation and what hands are we waiting for?

fwiw, additional reads:
- villain basically plays a somewhat TAG game but itīs spiced with decent agression. Heīs ver aggressiv on the button both pre and postflop. Unless he 3bets me, he seems to be relucatant to play a pot oop.
- if he does, he plays thos oop hands tight-aggressivly. Folds to quite some c-bets but I also noticed 3 donk bets and one check-raise. I gave up to those.
- villain took a turn stab when I failed to c-bet (3 times out of 3). He bet AT on Qxx-x and checked the river (early in the game). He also bet A6 on 763-3 and checked the river. He bet QT on 444-j-x and bet the river again.
- I didnīt fight back a lot and the villain has not caught me in any meaningfull bluffs.



    Poker Stars, $14.29 Buy-in (15/30 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 2 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    BB: 1,991 (66.4 bb)
    Hero (SB): 1,009 (33.6 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 7 A
    Hero raises to 60, BB raises to 180, Hero raises to 1,009 and is all-in,
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    09-30-2011 , 11:43 AM
    His 9th 3B, but on how many opens? If he's really 3B-bullying you, I think a shove here is fine, although Ax is not ideal. When he calls, you'll often be dominated. If you folded to all previous 3B, you'll have a lot of fold equity here though so I would shove a wide range.
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    09-30-2011 , 12:04 PM
    Technically speaking, shoving A7s at 34bb is just barely a +EV move, so readless I'd call and see a flop. But since he's 3betting u a lot, shove here is worthwhile IMO.
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    09-30-2011 , 12:14 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Polycarpus
    His 9th 3B, but on how many opens?
    Well itīs the 15/30 level, so how many hands might have been played? I open loosely from the button.

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Polycarpus
    I think a shove here is fine, although Ax is not ideal. When he calls, you'll often be dominated.
    We also have Ace outs against any pair smaller than AA, though.
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    09-30-2011 , 02:43 PM
    Well, mathematically speaking, even if his calling range is wider, smth like 77+,AT+ (8,5% of top range, 7,7% with card removal effect), your push is +EV if he 3bets 22% of his hands. I think he can 3bet you also wider, so the push is +EV.

    gl
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