$15 spin & go, c/shove flop?
04-02-2017
, 02:51 AM
Hi everyone,
Do you think that's okay or spewy? Side question: what software/process could I use to solve this situation?
I assume that is calling range should be: Jx,7x,JJ+
here is the equity if he calls:
Hand Equity Wins Ties
(QcTc ) 16.01%
(Jx,7x,JJ+ )83.99%
With that given data, how can I calculate at which frequency the opponent must fold for my play to be ev+?
I also thought maybe that if I want to playback, I'd better c/c flop et shove turn?
Thanks
Hero (BB): 950 (15.8 bb)
SB: 550 (9.2 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with Q
T
SB raises to 120, Hero calls 60
Flop: (240) 7
J
3 (2 players)
Hero checks, SB bets 96, Hero raises to 830 and is all-in, SB ?
Do you think that's okay or spewy? Side question: what software/process could I use to solve this situation?
I assume that is calling range should be: Jx,7x,JJ+
here is the equity if he calls:
Hand Equity Wins Ties
(QcTc ) 16.01%
(Jx,7x,JJ+ )83.99%
With that given data, how can I calculate at which frequency the opponent must fold for my play to be ev+?
I also thought maybe that if I want to playback, I'd better c/c flop et shove turn?
Thanks
Hero (BB): 950 (15.8 bb)
SB: 550 (9.2 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with Q
TSB raises to 120, Hero calls 60
Flop: (240) 7
J 3 (2 players)Hero checks, SB bets 96, Hero raises to 830 and is all-in, SB ?
Last edited by puich; 04-02-2017 at 03:12 AM.
04-03-2017
, 05:52 AM
Call pre is better.
EV(x/fold) = 0
Then
EV(x/shove) = Fold%*(StartingPot+Villain'sBet) + (1-Fold%)*(2*EffectiveStacks*EquityCalled - AmountYou'reShoving)
To find how many folds you need to be better than x/f, set this equation to 0 and solve for Fold%. Then just plug in all the numbers you know
Flop is close between x/call, x/f, and x/r NAI/fold, depending on reads of villain's opening range pre. Need more equity to want to x/shove.
EV(x/fold) = 0
Then
EV(x/shove) = Fold%*(StartingPot+Villain'sBet) + (1-Fold%)*(2*EffectiveStacks*EquityCalled - AmountYou'reShoving)
To find how many folds you need to be better than x/f, set this equation to 0 and solve for Fold%. Then just plug in all the numbers you know
Flop is close between x/call, x/f, and x/r NAI/fold, depending on reads of villain's opening range pre. Need more equity to want to x/shove.