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 HT : Shortstack postflop desicion  HT : Shortstack postflop desicion

02-07-2013 , 06:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by genher
I assumed villain would shove over the cbet with any pair, any FD, any GS (if we cbet 1/2 pot, pot is 180 and he has 285 left behind ) and our Equity vs this range would be ~41% and therefore an easy call.

Obviously these 41% depend on what preflop calling range we give villain. OP stated that villain is a bit stationy and flat ~60% and 3B 20%. so I took the top 80% and removed any PP any A from that range (that's ~20%) assuming these hands would 3BS. That's not perfect but I tried with the info available.

I have a bit of trouble convincing myself that Xing behind on that wet board and folding to a turn probe is the right play w AQo 11 bb deep in an HU Hyper.. Seems a bit weak to me.

of course this is all a bit theorical as an OS pre vs a stationy player is probably best anyways (as discussed before)
Yea, your pre-flop ranges are not reasonable. OP didn't specify but villain's stats are likely just averages, so his 3-betting range will likely be higher than 20%. But even if your range is correct, I wouldn't be confident you will have 42% Equity when he jams. Stations are more passive and you are lucky if you even have enough equity to call a jam let alone expect to have 42% equity. Villain calling more and raising less on the flop is favorable for c-betting, but villain will still likely jam often enough to make checking back a much better option.

Checking back may seem weak, but there isn't much you can do. His range connects with this board. Having to bet/fold or bet/call w/ our equity is a very poor result for us.
 HT : Shortstack postflop desicion Quote

      
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