Quote:
Originally Posted by cdon
Fair.
His likely calling range after c/r NAI is [Kx, 8x].
Against which we're way ahead of 8x and way behind Kx.
Add to that, there are likely more raw combinations of Kx in villain's OOP flatting range than 8x.
I don't think we're getting a huge amount of value here vs worse hands?
And do better vs his bluffs by flatting if there's a decent chance he will fire again with his air.
Or do you think it is better to take the pot down now vs his bluffing range?
i think there is a decent chance that villain gives up on the turn, in which case we let him realize his equity for free. take a hand like JT, if he decides to give up on any turn he doesn't hit, the EV of flatting is definitely worse than the one of jamming against that hand.
another aspect is that against 8x we are probably doing worse by flatting, any overcard is bad for him, especially the A, while he cannot really fold when we jam the flop.
against Kx it really doesn't matter, we are not folding on any turncard.
so we got 2 scenarios where we prefer jamming and one where we don't care, so the answer is clear. this is under the assumption that his bluffing frequency does not suffice to balance the equity share we allow him to realize. this is obv not set in stone and against certain opponent types there is merit in flatting.