Ok, per nicecatch08 range.
We need 31.25% equity to make this call correct.
Let's say his range is sets, overpair and air. Except he can't have all air. His air is diamonds only.
Versus EVERY SINGLE diamond hand he can have that is air on the river:
Board: 9d 4c 2d 6h 6c
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.000% 50.00% 00.00% 35 0.00 { Jd9h }
Hand 1: 50.000% 50.00% 00.00% 35 0.00 { 99+, 44, 22, AdKd, AdQd, AdTd, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, KdQd, KdTd, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd5d, Kd4d, Kd3d, QdTd, Qd8d, Qd7d, Qd5d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Td8d, Td7d, Td5d, Td4d, Td3d, 8d7d, 8d5d, 8d4d, 8d3d, 7d5d, 7d4d, 7d3d, 5d4d, 5d3d, 4d3d }
Clearly a +EV call vs your range. Again assuming it's 100% all diamonds range.
Also this is 36 diamond flushes btw..
If I take away the big diamonds(AK/AQ/AT/KQ/QT/KT) and Adxd that he'd raise preflop, we're left with 25 diamond flushes
Board: 9d 4c 2d 6h 6c
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.678% 40.68% 00.00% 24 0.00 { Jd9h }
Hand 1: 59.322% 59.32% 00.00% 35 0.00 { 99+, 44, 22, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd5d, Kd4d, Kd3d, Qd8d, Qd7d, Qd5d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Td8d, Td7d, Td5d, Td4d, Td3d, 8d7d, 8d5d, 8d4d, 8d3d, 7d5d, 7d4d, 7d3d, 5d4d, 5d3d, 4d3d }
If we take away T8dd/87dd/54dd/75dd and he'd raise those preflop.. leaving 21 diamond whiffs on river
Board: 9d 4c 2d 6h 6c
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.364% 36.36% 00.00% 20 0.00 { Jd9h }
Hand 1: 63.636% 63.64% 00.00% 35 0.00 { 99+, 44, 22, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd5d, Kd4d, Kd3d, Qd8d, Qd7d, Qd5d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Td7d, Td5d, Td4d, Td3d, 8d5d, 8d4d, 8d3d, 7d4d, 7d3d, 5d3d, 4d3d }
Still +EV. But now it's getting closer.
If we take away all Kdxd and Qd8d, leaving only 15 diamonds whiffs possible..
Board: 9d 4c 2d 6h 6c
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.571% 28.57% 00.00% 14 0.00 { Jd9h }
Hand 1: 71.429% 71.43% 00.00% 35 0.00 { 99+, 44, 22, Qd7d, Qd5d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Td7d, Td5d, Td4d, Td3d, 8d5d, 8d4d, 8d3d, 7d4d, 7d3d, 5d3d, 4d3d }
-ev..
Last edited by borderline; 09-24-2010 at 04:25 PM.