Bovada Poker $10 HU SNG (Regular blind structure). Blinds were at the 2nd level (15/30)
This was the second game I had played against the villain. The first game I had won rather easily, with a combination of good hands and an opponent that seemed very weak and readable. I will break down the tendencies I had seen in him so far as follows.
He seemed easy to bluff when he missed the flop & don't recall any instances of him playing back at me with nothing after I had bet.
When he did catch a hand however (middle pair or better), he did not seem capable of making a tough laydown.
He played pretty straight forward preflop (limping or folding weak hands on the BTN, and raising is better hands 3x the BB)
He seemed overly tight preflop at first (folding his BTN alot & giving up to small raises after he had limped), but seemed to have loosened up significantly after he lost the first game, possibly due to tilt.
He C-bet alot of flops, and in the hand bellow, I feel he is highly likely to shove AI with a variety of hands if I check to him on the flop.
Hero (BB) $1900
Villain (BTN) $1100
Hero is dealt A
J
Villain raises to 90, Hero re-raises to 300, Villain calls 210
Flop (pot = 600) 7
10
Q
Hero?
As mentioned above, if I check to him I believe he will shove his last 800 chips in with a variety of hands (I would estimate any Q, any 10, any open ended or gutshot straight draws, any flush draws, and possibly some total bluffs as well). If I bet I would estimate he folds anything weaker than a 10.
Also, I am wondering if I should have 3-bet with the AJ in the first place. This is a pretty standard play for me HU with AJ when I get raised in the BB. However, with someone this predictable, it may be better to just call and focus on outplaying him postflop. Even though I feel I lose some value by not raising, b/c I think he is calling with many weaker hands, it may not be worth it to play a big pot where luck can be more of a factor.
Your thoughts?