Quote:
Originally Posted by borell
35%? How u count this?
Money you have to pay / (Pot + Villains bet)
=> 190 / 250 + 280=0,358 ~ 36%
If you only call your effective stack will be 860 and pot after the call 720 and you have to remember that amount you pay (190) might be price for one card.
So if we think you just call and you get c/r on turn you can't fold because now you are commited to pot. We have 8 outs on the flop + overs and we have chance to get more on the turn if card is spade.
We calculate with 14 outs and assume we see both turn and river.
14 * 4 = ~56% our hand will get better.
We can also calculate within 8 outs and that will be ~ 30%
Mathematically this call isn't +EV if we have only 8 outs so just shove pls