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Mid-High Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of mid-high stakes MTT strategy

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Old 05-15-2017, 12:44 PM   #26
jpgiro
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Re: WPTDS hand vs. a well known pro

I think our opponent will check back sets a decent percentage of the time on a JT2 rainbow board, especially because by having those JJ and TT they block hands an opponent would otherwise call a c-bet with. That's why the raise on the turn those hands, along with 33, all should be in our opponents' range. (I could see betting 22 and maybe JT along with good Jx hands as c-bets instead.)

The other problem with 88 is that if our opponent checked flop with a draw (with the intention of c/r) blocking 98s is not the best.

As I noted, I don't think calling turn with the intention of calling it off on certain runouts is an egregious punt or anything, but I think in general we can fold third pair to a raise (with two players left to act) pretty comfortably.

Last edited by jpgiro; 05-15-2017 at 12:52 PM.
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Old 05-15-2017, 12:52 PM   #27
Howard Treesong
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Re: WPTDS hand vs. a well known pro

JPG,

I'd include JT there as well, which is mostly indistinguishable from JJ and TT value-wise and blocks even more Tx and Jx. I think all three usually lead but can and probably should check the flop sometimes.
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Old 05-15-2017, 01:00 PM   #28
jpgiro
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Re: WPTDS hand vs. a well known pro

Quote:
Originally Posted by Howard Treesong View Post
JPG,

I'd include JT there as well, which is mostly indistinguishable from JJ and TT value-wise and blocks even more Tx and Jx. I think all three usually lead but can and probably should check the flop sometimes.
That's fair. That realistically is only a couple of additional combos though if our opponent is only opening JTs pre. But the point is taken - that you can't discount top and second set (and top two) from checking back that flop.
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Old 05-19-2017, 04:57 AM   #29
Jules22
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Re: WPTDS hand vs. a well known pro

Never betting the turn, im checking and hoping to check the river and find out mhig
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Old 05-19-2017, 12:25 PM   #30
Howard Treesong
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Re: WPTDS hand vs. a well known pro

CJD,

Results?
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Old 05-19-2017, 01:56 PM   #31
Crazy Joe Davola
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Re: WPTDS hand vs. a well known pro

I called the raise. River was a 7 and it went check-check. I won. He didn't show.
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