Background: €160 tournament in Paris, extremely soft field
3rd hand of tournament:
first hand: hero bet turn, overbet river bvb, didnt show
Second hand: Hero iso'd BU limp to 7x from SB, got 2 folds, didn't show
Villain: SB, no reads, no history except young kid, which is obviously more likely reggy but you never know in this field
OTTH:
300bb (15k) effective, 25/50 blinds
BU Hero: Q
8
, raises 3bb
SB Villain: raise 7bb
BB: cold call, Hero call
Flop: Q
8
7
: pot: 21bb (1100)
SB bet 8bb, BB fold, Hero call
Turn: 3
pot: 37bb (1850)
SB bet 22bb, Hero raise 60bb, SB raise 170bb, Hero??? (225bb behind)
Thoughts: Yes there is an argument for folding pre, but the price is too good to see a flop IP vs a soft field imo
Decided to call flop, sometimes i will raise though, turn feels like an obvious raise for value, then when he 3b do we have to stack off here? villains 3b range almost never includes 77 or 88, so we effectively lose to 1 combo of QQ.
We have to be good anything over half the time to gii here, so if villain plays 1 combo of AKss or AA or KK this way, it's a snap jam right?
I see live players overplay KK or AA in this spot quite regularly, and given our potentially aggro image over the first 2 hands, we jam here? just feels uncomfortable to gii 300bb deep vs a strong range with just two pair
Is there any merit to calling turn and calling any river? I think villain has so little behind that he can't fold any draws to a jam, and it's unlikely he has pure air