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Mid-High Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of mid-high stakes MTT strategy

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Old 02-21-2019, 11:30 PM   #1
YugiohPro
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Winamax High Roller Final Table Spot: Push or Die!!!!11

Final Table of Winamax 250E High Roller

Payouts:
6386
4740
3386
2418
1727
1234

Winamax - 4000/8000 NL (7 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 33.31 BB
Hero (BB): 42.7 BB
UTG: 29.94 BB
MP: 81.34 BB
CO: 35.22 BB
BTN: 39.98 BB

6 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.25 BB) Hero has 2 2

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, SB raises to 8.37 BB, Hero

Reads:
- Button opening loose and enough where I probably thug jam if folded to me
- SB is $34 ABI and seems to be a regular. Has 3b 4/21 times so far and running 30/19.
- He 3b me earlier at the final table with KK and made it 5.9bb over 2.1bb. He also 3B with AQ earlier and used a 2.8x sizing. This 3b is bigger.

I can mess with the parameters until the result becomes what I want to do but that would defeat the point of actually finding the right play. What do you think?
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Old 02-22-2019, 01:03 AM   #2
wowsooooted
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Re: Winamax High Roller Final Table Spot: Push or Die!!!!11

If you ran this through icm its a fold.. not sure if thug jam is optimal either
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Old 02-22-2019, 02:43 AM   #3
erc007
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Re: Winamax High Roller Final Table Spot: Push or Die!!!!11

Easy fold (and easy defend 40bbs eff if btn opens to 2.5x.)
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Old 02-22-2019, 05:35 AM   #4
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Re: Winamax High Roller Final Table Spot: Push or Die!!!!11

Quote:
Originally Posted by erc007 View Post
Easy fold (and easy defend 40bbs eff if btn opens to 2.5x.)
This. Honnestly don't understand your thought process regarding your will to 4b "thug jam" almost 40biggs eff pre from the bb vs btn rfi and sb 3b... Seems suicidal at best
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Old 02-22-2019, 11:45 AM   #5
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Re: Winamax High Roller Final Table Spot: Push or Die!!!!11

I guess you hate your life when he's TT-88 heavy and not folding.

Recently I examined very similar spot where I thug-jammed 77 40bb deep vs also somewhat capped 3bet range but not on ft. It was sad, even in optimistic scenarios it was +0.5bb cold-4b. +30$ shove won't satisfy you either if it's somehow the case.
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Old 02-22-2019, 06:09 PM   #6
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Re: Winamax High Roller Final Table Spot: Push or Die!!!!11

Love the jam in theory but not seeing strong enough evidence that SB is capped. Were any of the previous 3! OOP ? If so what was sizing?
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Old 02-22-2019, 06:56 PM   #7
YugiohPro
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Re: Winamax High Roller Final Table Spot: Push or Die!!!!11

I don't think he was capped fwiw or suggesting so. He just had 3b twice once with AQo and once with KK, both OOP, to about 2.8x. So I thought at the time this 3b was with a weaker hand since it doesn't get much stronger than KK after all! (spoiler: it did)
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Old 02-22-2019, 07:12 PM   #8
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Re: Winamax High Roller Final Table Spot: Push or Die!!!!11

Quote:
Originally Posted by YugiohPro View Post
I don't think he was capped fwiw or suggesting so. He just had 3b twice once with AQo and once with KK, both OOP, to about 2.8x. So I thought at the time this 3b was with a weaker hand since it doesn't get much stronger than KK after all! (spoiler: it did)
I thought a pair of twos beat a pair of ones ?
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