Quote:
Originally Posted by Nut Nut
I would look at it like this. With blinds and antes, you're looking at probably 2.5 BB. So your return is 2.5 / 17.5 or about 14%.
Your probably not going to be called by anything worse. Let's say villains calling range is 99+, or AJ-AK. Odds are about 12% that someone in the blinds has a better calling hand.
If you ignore ICM, it's a good value play.
If you consider ICM, The upside is that you will walk away from the hand with 20BB in chips. Probably not worth a lot more than 17BB. The downside is that you bomb out in 9th. 5th can easily pay 2x as much as 9th.
Not an easy decision. With 17BB left and M ~ 6, I'm personally waiting for a better spot to ship it in.
Edit: I see the word bubble in the subject line. If 8 spots are paid here, I'm folding.
I'm not sure if the term bubble is correct, as I meant to use it in the context of making or not making the final table. 9th got paid, but it was a top heavy structure.
Thank everyone for their feedback.
I think am leaning towards always shoving here in top heavy tournaments. And folding in more even structures.
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