WCOOP $109 Thursday Thrill - PKO - MTT Poker Strategy - Multi Table Tournament Poker Forum

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WCOOP $109 Thursday Thrill - PKO

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09-04-2020 , 03:03 PM

Percyeus86

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 623

Folds to us OTB with QhJc with 48k. Blinds 350 and 700.

I open 2x.

SB calls pre 1400 off a 10k stack
BB calls 700 off a 75k stack

Flop - Kh 9d 9s - checks through.

Turn - Tc - BB bets 2600. I call. SB folds.

River - 8h - BB bets 6800.

Hero? We have around 40k behind. What's the play? Call / Raise / Jam? We're obviously never folding but what's the most EV line. What do we get called by if we jam vs a min click back for example? If we click back and he rips is it a sigh fold?

Also, would anyone take a different line here?

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09-04-2020 , 09:48 PM

Colin_Piddle

The Colonial

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 11,807

Just call he can have some boats here.

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09-04-2020 , 10:59 PM

erc007

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 2,227

I think we gotta raise vs 67% river sizing...if BB bet pot or close to it just call...18k/f imo (u can prob CIB w 99;KK and K9)...BB can have 96s;97s;J7s;J9s;Q9s;A9s and J9o;Q9o;A9o (27 combos) vs 18 combos of boats.

No idea how/if the KO value factors in here...?

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09-06-2020 , 03:47 PM

lolposting2016

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 2,149

Easy jam

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09-07-2020 , 04:56 PM

dales99

centurion

Join Date: Jun 2018 Posts: 136

We're meant to jam in theory here for sure but from experience I can't see the average Villain bluff catching/calling off wide enough here to actually justify a shove from a risk/reward perspective for 70bb. His value range is obv boats and all QJ/76 and some Kx/9x. Most regs will just call boats and QJ and some 76 here if you shove for that sizing - given we don't have many bluffs - probably meant to be turning JT/QT into bluffs on this river which most people won't do, and hence a competent BB should overfold to this jam.

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09-08-2020 , 02:19 AM

Colin_Piddle

The Colonial

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 11,807

Sorry I thought villian had triple barrelled. yeah we can raise river

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