The very 1st hand of an online e110 freeze (5k start stack). No info or history with villain.


Dealt to Hero: ad: ah:

Folded to me

Hero (button) raises [60]
Player2 calls [50]
Player3 calls [40]

* Dealing Flop * :ac: :th: :5d:

Player2 checks
Player3 checks
Hero bets [120]
Player2 calls [120]
Player3 calls [120]

* Dealing Turn * :jc:

Player2 checks
Player3 bets [1717]

Hero?

I dont play a ton online but seems like its likely a misclick. If it isnt, this is a spot where hero should probably tank call turn, and hope player 3s stats are searchable.


Bet some stupid small amount relative to the pot OTR when its checked to us and hate your life if he jams and there's no reentry.

We are at the top of our range and cannot fold this turn. If anyone thinks this is always KQ they are objectively wrong. It is a suspicious bet but a good player isn't 3x overbetting here very often. We have the second nuts and it's early so players can be up to all sorts of shenanigans. I'm probably calling off safe rivers as well; a king, Q, or club could be dicey though. KQ should rarely be floating us on the flop by the bb, especially with a bet/call in front of him, but it isn't out of the question. I think we (btn) and the sb have more KQ's than the bb anyway. This player could potentially even have worse value like AJ, JT, or a strangely played 55 (though I suspect with a bet and call 55 is raising flop.) AT probably raises flop as well so I might discount that as worse value betting here.

There's always the chance that a flush draw is raising here as well, though I can't figure many reasonable flush draws here that aren't just random floats.

All in all, I do have trouble finding good bluffs for villain here, but considering the nature of the spot I think calling turn is the move, especially with having a redraw. If we're folding top set to all overbets on the turn here we are overfolding for sure.

In spots like this, you need to ask yourself, can I beat some of the value range? Don't get me wrong, the nuts will sometimes be a part of their range, but so might some other hands. You have the 2nd nuts with equity vs KQ and are crushing any other set/2p.