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River Decision River Decision

08-05-2020 , 09:40 PM
$80 BI Local Club Mid Tournament

BTN is quite an aggressive regular (40bbs)
BB is an okay player and holds 8c8s (36bbs)

BTN opens 2bb and BTN calls

Flop Kd 3d 2h (Pot 4.5bbs)

BB checks BTN bets 2bb, BB calls

Turn 3s (Pot 8.5bbs)

BB checks, BTN checks

River 10s (Pot 8.5bbs)

BB checks....

If BTN bets, how often should BB call?
What hands do you think BTN would bet?
River Decision Quote
08-06-2020 , 12:54 AM
If BTN bets pot it's insta fold, if BTN bets half pot, then it's sigh fold.BTN should check back some of his weaker K pairs and pocket pairs. If AA with diamond might check turn there. Imho in BTN's range all pocket pairs higher than T should bet for value.
River Decision Quote
08-06-2020 , 01:05 PM
I think the T is a bad card.

A lot of hands got there like AT/QT/JT/T9. Hands like AQ/AJ will likely check behind because they have showdown value.

The type of hands that missed and would need to bluff to win are minimized because of the T. We are left with QJ and suited connectors like 98s/87s/etc. But the problem is that our 88 blocks a lot of them.

If BTN makes a small bet like 2bb to 4bb I might call (crying) but any normal size river bet is a fold.
River Decision Quote
08-06-2020 , 10:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Rick
I think the T is a bad card.

A lot of hands got there like AT/QT/JT/T9. Hands like AQ/AJ will likely check behind because they have showdown value.

The type of hands that missed and would need to bluff to win are minimized because of the T. We are left with QJ and suited connectors like 98s/87s/etc. But the problem is that our 88 blocks a lot of them.

If BTN makes a small bet like 2bb to 4bb I might call (crying) but any normal size river bet is a fold.
Thanks, so better to call with 77, 66 or 55 for example.

Another thing, if the BTN had a ten he can easily check for SDV but he could also merge his range and bet a Ten because BB will think its either a King or a bluff and possibly call. So in turn BTN is getting more value from his hand.
River Decision Quote

      
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