Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 1,439
Not sure what position you're in, but I probably lean slightly towards limping pre especially if you think players behind are going to 3-bet lots vs what they'd perceive as limper isolation. If we are raising go somewhat bigger, maybe more like 1.4K.
Sizing by button seems like a mistake as it gives us super odds to call 1.5K to win a pot that's going to be 6.3K.
Flop is weird. I don't think raising here is as clear-cut as it might seem at first glance.
In villain's 3-bet range there aren't a ton of good draws (AhQh is honestly the most likely one) so it's not like we need to raise for protection. We do have value here obviously with the KJ and 88 but also a lot of draws, so if we start raising this flop with a bunch of them we can easily overbluff. We also block the KQ/AK hands that villain most likely has on this board that we want to get multiple streets of value from.
All that being said I'm guessing we probably should raise KJ but it's not 100% obvious to me.
As to villain's AK fold (if he's being honest) I think it's close but it makes some sense to me, even to a smaller sizing. He's going to fold all of his no-equity bluff hands and perhaps checks some QQ/AJ/TT-type hands or maybe even KQ sometimes, so he probably also wants to fold his worst value hands. And KQ/AK w/o any additional equity like backdoor hearts seems reasonable as folds, knowing that he has KK/JJ/AA/AK w/heart and maybe stuff like AhQh/AhTh that can consider continuing with.