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Mid-High Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of mid-high stakes MTT strategy

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Old 11-13-2017, 01:36 PM   #1
Lucky.luke
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Join Date: Jan 2015
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PKO 27 $ EPhase. Vs aggressive Reg.

PokerStars - 20/40 Ante 5 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 200.72 BB
Hero (SB): 86.4 BB
BB: 72.55 BB (VPIP: 5.26, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
UTG: 74.67 BB (VPIP: 9.26, PFR: 7.55, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 56)
UTG+1: 73.8 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
MP: 89.67 BB (VPIP: 21.88, PFR: 16.95, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 66)
CO: 70.45 BB (VPIP: 22.94, PFR: 16.19, 3Bet Preflop: 4.44, Hands: 109)

7 players post ante of 0 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.37 BB) Hero has A 6

UTG raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2 BB, fold

Flop: (9.37 BB, 3 players) A 6 8
Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN bets 4.35 BB, Hero raises to 13.02 BB, fold, BTN calls 8.67 BB

Turn: (35.42 BB, 2 players) J
Hero bets 19.2 BB, BTN calls 19.2 BB

River: (73.82 BB, 2 players) J
Hero checks, BTN bets 165.87 BB and is all-in, Hero?
Spoiler:

Villain is very aggressive decent Regular.

His BU flatting range is vs Flop x/r and continuing turn bet (yeah this means check raise, this c/r is nonsense) is:

8 combo toppair
6 combos fd + pair
14 combso seccond and nut flush draw.
2 combos oesd + fd
1 combo guardshot + fd

sets he will get in on flop as well as two pairs. the high card flushdraws and fdraws with pairs got showdownvalue so therefore wont all in on flop as well as big draws are strong enough to just call or are more calls then rips.

otr

he got:
one combo fhouse, s6 combos JcXc
6 combo toppar vs 2 combo toppair which beat us
butsted draws: 23 which are 8 king high 6 combos with pair they check back.
so 11 Q high or worse.
all in all
value shoves: 7 (JcXc+)
bluff shoves: 9 (54s excluded....)



curious about input. did for sure made some mistake in analysis. hope not that impactful.
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Old 11-14-2017, 12:37 PM   #2
onehandatatime
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Re: PKO 27 $ EPhase. Vs aggressive Reg.

Folding pre. Such bad reverse implied odds and playing OOP I don't like this spot. As played, seems fine, now just folding river
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Old 11-14-2017, 03:51 PM   #3
Lucky.luke
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Re: PKO 27 $ EPhase. Vs aggressive Reg.

Quote:
Originally Posted by onehandatatime View Post
Folding pre. Such bad reverse implied odds and playing OOP I don't like this spot. As played, seems fine, now just folding river
i only call pre for nut fluhes 60 bb+ so for implied odds, and reverse only if one got higher top two?... i think pretty unlucky run out.. fold river is close imo. tbh was just curious what villain got bec he wont got much top two which beat my holding. so he was polarized no?(if he wont got many better top two...)
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Old 11-14-2017, 04:07 PM   #4
onehandatatime
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Re: PKO 27 $ EPhase. Vs aggressive Reg.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lucky.luke View Post
i only call pre for nut fluhes 60 bb+ so for implied odds, and reverse only if one got higher top two?... i think pretty unlucky run out.. fold river is close imo. tbh was just curious what villain got bec he wont got much top two which beat my holding. so he was polarized no?(if he wont got many better top two...)
bad run out yes, but you're still losing to AQ and AK and being curious for most of your stack is not a +ev play. Also the chances of actually hitting a flush and getting action on that hand I don't think outweighs the potential of losing a ton of chips with the bad reverse implied odds.
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Old 11-14-2017, 04:16 PM   #5
Lucky.luke
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Join Date: Jan 2015
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Re: PKO 27 $ EPhase. Vs aggressive Reg.

Quote:
Originally Posted by onehandatatime View Post
bad run out yes, but you're still losing to AQ and AK and being curious for most of your stack is not a +ev play. Also the chances of actually hitting a flush and getting action on that hand I don't think outweighs the potential of losing a ton of chips with the bad reverse implied odds.
do you think he got there in flating range pre more often than not AK?

also what are the reverse impl odds vs which hands? vs better two pairs?
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Old 11-14-2017, 05:03 PM   #6
lolposting2016
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Re: PKO 27 $ EPhase. Vs aggressive Reg.

vs a 2.5 x i think folding pre looks ok. calling is ok as well tho with half a bb invested and all the antes and what not. vs a reg who is leaking by opening 2 wide id prefer to just stick in a 3b w the suited a right here. its a nice combo to bluff with here i think since we dont rly care if we get 4b and ur a blocker works pretty well.
watever tho.
id be betting bigger otf but its not the end of the world
ott you can do some fun things like crai or over bet depending how you wanna play your draws or hands like 67s that you xr as a bluff/ protection bet
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Old 11-14-2017, 06:35 PM   #7
Lucky.luke
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Re: PKO 27 $ EPhase. Vs aggressive Reg.

Quote:
Originally Posted by lolposting2016 View Post
vs a 2.5 x i think folding pre looks ok. calling is ok as well tho with half a bb invested and all the antes and what not. vs a reg who is leaking by opening 2 wide id prefer to just stick in a 3b w the suited a right here. its a nice combo to bluff with here i think since we dont rly care if we get 4b and ur a blocker works pretty well.
watever tho.
id be betting bigger otf but its not the end of the world
ott you can do some fun things like crai or over bet depending how you wanna play your draws or hands like 67s that you xr as a bluff/ protection bet

thought in hinte side also should size otf bigger. yeah the check ott look nice, but if he checks his draws back thats not we wanna see...? but thought about the bigger x /r and like overbet jam turn....

bro, crai? dont do that please, use this x/r or this x r
c=call
x=check
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