I recently played in a 560 buy in RUNGOOD main event (live MTT). I feel I played great on day 1 and made it to day 2, 13th in chips...out of 42. My table draw might be the worst ever...5 previous champions and 2 SOLID players...then me
Directly on my left is 2 past winners, both with over 350k in chips. I have 160k...
The following is what I did, for a very specific reason, but I am curious on your thoughts...I will share my reasoning at the end.
at 1500-3000 level, I get QQ UTG. I raise to 8k. Folds around to button (very aggressive, solid player, we have played a lot together). He re-raises 25k more, making it 33k to go. I think about it and call. Flop comes 2,5,7 rainbow. I check and he immediately goes all-in. I call for 127k...he tables AKo, and spikes a A on the turn. I am out in 37th place (top 20 got paid)
What are your thoughts, critiques, etc?
My thought process was this...I need to build my chips high enough to make the 2 past champions directly on my left be a little more cautious when raising me. Based on his pre flop actions I had my opponent on 10,10-JJ, AJ,AQ,AK...I felt if I 3 bet pre, he would shove with AKo, or AQs...possibly JJ (best case for me) leaving me a coin flip to double up. However call,check if no A or K, gives him an opportunity to continuation bet shove (he is aggressive enough)...meaning I would now be a 3-1 favorite providing he has AK...even more ahead if its JJ or AQ.
If I shove the flop, he is always folding, if I shove pre he might fold 10%, meaning I can increase my stack by 10 BB almost always, or I can double up 77 out of 100 times. Which play is best for long term success in MTT?
Or any I having a mental block
Thank you